Prevalence of Differentiated High-Grade Thyroid Carcinoma among Well-Differentiated Tumors: a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background: The current edition of the World Health Organization (WHO) classification of endocrine tumors introduced grading for follicular cell-derived thyroid cancer. Tumors with necrosis and/or high mitotic count but not fulfilling the Turin criteria for poorly differentiated carcinoma will be reclassified as differentiated high-grade thyroid carcinoma (DHGTC). However, the impact of this reclassification has not been evaluated. In this study, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to estimate the prevalence of this new entry across thyroid tumor subtypes. Methods: In this systematic review and meta-analysis, studies reporting data on necrosis and/or mitoses in well-differentiated thyroid carcinoma (WDTC) were used to estimate the prevalence of DHGTC. Heterogeneity and potential publication bias were also evaluated. Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines were followed, and quality assessment was performed using a modification of the Newcastle-Ottawa scale. The study has been registered in the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO, ID: CRD42022378716). Results: In clinically unselected patients, the prevalence of DHGTC in WDTC was 0.072 [95% confidence interval, CI, = 0.045-0.113]. The proportion of high-grade tumors greatly varied across growth patterns and subtypes. Overall, the prevalence of DHGTC was higher in follicular thyroid carcinoma (FTC; 0.146 [CI = 0.101-0.205]) than in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC; 0.059 [CI = 0.036-0.097]). Diffuse sclerosing, follicular, and classic subtype PTC had the lowest rates of high-grade features (i.e., 0.018 [CI = 0.004-0.084]; 0.036 [CI = 0.010-0.124]; and 0.042 [CI = 0.027-0.066], respectively), while a greater proportion of solid trabecular and histologically aggressive PTC could be reclassified as DHGTC (i.e., 0.154 [CI = 0.067-0.314] and 0.168 [CI = 0.108-0.252], respectively). Similar proportions were obtained for minimally and widely invasive FTC (i.e., 0.136 [CI = 0.058-0.287] and 0.152 [CI = 0.086-0.254], respectively). Finally, in a cohort of patients with poor prognosis (i.e., fatal cases, metastatic and radioiodine resistant tumors, cases with biochemical recurrence), the proportion of DHGTC was 0.287 [CI = 0.155-0.469]. Conclusions: Following the current WHO indications, some tumors will be reclassified as DHGTC. The proportion of tumors with high-grade features is relevant in FTC, solid trabecular, and histologically aggressive PTC subtypes. A remarkable enrichment in DHGTC among patients with poor prognosis confirms the negative impact of high-grade features on outcome.