Measurements of surface-atmosphere carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) fluxes have been relatively sparse across the Arctic tundra and boreal biomes, causing significant uncertainties in carbon budget estimates from the region. While the availability of Arctic-boreal carbon flux data has increased substantially over the past decade, the data have remained spread across different repositories, scientific articles, and unpublished sources, making it difficult to leverage. Here we present a new dataset of monthly Arctic-boreal carbon fluxes (ABCFlux v2) across terrestrial (wetlands and uplands) and freshwater (lakes and rivers) ecosystems compiled from previous syntheses including the Arctic-boreal CO2 flux database (ABCFlux v1), the Boreal-Arctic Wetland and Lake Methane Dataset (BAWLD-CH4), and the Global River Methane Database (GRiMeDB). In addition, we consider data from general-purpose (e.g., Zenodo) and flux network repositories, literature, and site principal investigators. The dataset includes surface-atmosphere CO2 fluxes of gross primary production (GPP), ecosystem respiration (Reco), and net ecosystem exchange (NEE), alongside CH4 fluxes. For aquatic ecosystems, we split CH4 fluxes into diffusive and ebullitive flux pathways, and included potential emissions from transient storage in the water column (“storage fluxes”), alongside CO2 and CH4 concentrations dissolved in the surface water. Fluxes are measured through a variety of methods including chamber and eddy covariance techniques alongside bubble traps, ice-surveys, and concentration-based turbulence-driven modelling in aquatic ecosystems. The monthly flux data are reported together with supporting methodological and environmental metadata. The resulting ABCFlux v2 has 23 847 flux site-months, 8182 concentration site-months, and 199 seasonal observations from 1024 sites, and includes 56 139 reported fluxes (i.e. sum of GPP, Reco, NEE, and CH4 fluxes) from the years 1984 to 2024. The majority of monthly observations occurred after 1999. Wetlands had the highest number of site-month observations (8758), followed by boreal forest (6981), lotic ecosystems (6275), lentic ecosystems (3799) and upland tundra (3308). Measurements of CO2 dominated the dataset across most ecosystem types (25 222) except for lentic ecosystems, where CH4 flux site-months (3098) were more frequent than CO2 flux site-months (2915). Overall, ABCFlux v2 includes 160 % more site-months for terrestrial CO2 flux data compared to ABCFlux v1. Integrating and updating BAWLD-CH4 flux data from growing season averages to monthly fluxes resulted in 5671 site-months of chamber CH4 data compared to 762 site-years. This collaborative initiative, involving contributions from over 260 researchers, provides a comprehensive overview of the current state of the Arctic-boreal carbon flux network and its data, and serves as an important step in reducing uncertainties in Arctic-boreal carbon budgets and in enhancing our understanding of climate feedbacks. The data can be accessed at ORNL DAAC at https://doi.org/10.3334/ORNLDAAC/2448 (Virkkala et al., 2026).
The carbon balance of an ecosystem is the difference between Gross Primary Productivity (GPP) and Ecosystem Respiration (Reco) as expressed by Net Ecosystem Exchange (NEE). While remote sensing retrievals of GPP have reached maturity, Reco estimation remains underexplored and ultimately cast bias on NEE. Here we present an end-to-end multi-scale analysis of the mechanism of Reco, implemented at the level of eddy covariance tower measurements and scale it up to country level by means of remote sensing. Study has been performed over Russian forests and wetlands. Carbon flux data were collected from 20 RuFlux and 36 FLUXNET sites. We implemented three Reco regression models: 1) linear, forced by daily GPP, 2) Arrhenius exponential, forced by daily average Air Temperature, 3) linear combination of the above. Each model free parameters were parameterized as function of annual GPP, to account for spatial and temporal variability. Best performance is achieved by the third model, while the first two serve as components accounting for respiration of vegetation and soil, respectively. Daily and annual GPP/Reco/NEE products were generated from MODIS remote sensing and MERRA2 reanalysis data. Reco exhibits lower amplitude and more inert spatial variability compared to that of GPP. At the annual scale Russian forests and wetlands serve as carbon sink. All three annual carbon fluxes have tendency to increase (by absolute value) from north to south. WET have GPP close to Reco and therefore may change NEE sign, while DBF have GPP significantly prevail Reco to stay as a carbon sink.
The Arctic-boreal region’s carbon balance is shifting, with major implications for global climate. Models predict high carbon emissions by 2100, consisting of greenhouse gases, carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) and methane (CH 4 ), thus a representative carbon flux monitoring network is crucial to constrain fluxes. Eddy flux towers are increasingly used to inform models, and the area towers represent define model limitations. The Arctic-boreal flux tower network has grown from one to over 100 over past decades, however, towers are not designed to have broad regional representation. We analyzed flux tower network improvements made between 2022 and 2024, when targeted sites were added in part by the Permafrost Pathways project. We assessed the representativeness of active sites for four measurement categories: growing season CO 2 , growing season CH 4 , year-round CO 2 , and year-round CH 4 . Sixteen new or upgraded sites improved representation over 23–55% of the Arctic-boreal region across categories. Seventy-five percent of the region was well represented given improvements in growing season CO 2 measurements; however, only 45% of the domain was well represented for year-round CH 4 . We show targeted improvements can obtain better representativeness with limited sites, but continued upgrades are necessary to close gaps, particularly in Russia where gaps remain large.
Climate change has increased the size and frequency of wildfires across the boreal biome. Severe wildfires in boreal forests have been found to trigger shifts from evergreen to deciduous canopies, which has cascading effects on carbon and nitrogen cycling. Ecosystem productivity and carbon uptake in boreal forests are strongly linked with nitrogen, and Earth system models increasingly depend on our understanding of the nitrogen balance to predict post-fire carbon uptake. To investigate the post-fire boreal nitrogen balance, we combined a mass balance approach and literature synthesis to estimate rates of nitrogen accumulation and nitrogen inputs across a network of 18 boreal wildfire chronosequences that varied in both wildfire regime and post-fire canopy type, comprising 527 forest stands. We found that deciduous- or mixed-dominance boreal forests establishing after severe, stand-replacing fires had the highest nitrogen accumulation rates (15.7 ± 3.8 kg ha-1 year-1), while evergreen-dominated forests establishing after surface- or mixed-severity fires had the lowest nitrogen accumulation rates (1.4 ± 1.1 kg ha-1 year-1). Annual known inputs from nitrogen deposition and biological nitrogen fixation combined, estimated from published data, largely failed to explain the rate of nitrogen accumulation, particularly in deciduous or mixed-dominance forests establishing after stand-replacing fires, suggesting that the origins of most nitrogen in these forest types remain poorly understood. As the frequency of severe wildfires increases across the boreal biome and shifts toward deciduous canopies become more common, our study reveals a large knowledge gap in the resulting nitrogen balance that needs to be resolved in order to improve predictions of forest carbon uptake.
Anthropogenically induced climate change largely affects the functioning of vegetation communities worldwide. In the world's largest land biome, the boreal forest, a persistent decoupling of tree growth from rising summer temperatures has been recorded in recent decades. This so-called ‘Divergence Problem’ (DP) has been studied over the past 30 years, yet the causes and spatial patterns within the boreal forest zone are not well understood. Here, we present tree-ring evidence on varying DP in Larix gmelinii from the globally northernmost forest island on Taymyr Peninsula and Larix sibirica from the southern taiga in central Siberia. Tree-ring width and maximum latewood density data reveal DP to be substantially stronger in the south indicating that growth-climate relationships in Siberian larch passed beyond a tipping point under warmer climate and increased anthropogenic pressure. In the north, the temperature signal remained strong and temporally stable underscoring the skill of tree-ring chronologies for long-term climate reconstructions. These findings highlight the heterogeneity of tree growth responses to global warming within the boreal forest zone, from which spatially varying consequences for carbon and water cycle dynamics must be expected. Our study emphasizes the importance of updating tree-ring chronologies in remote regions within boreal forest zone to foster understanding of spatiotemporal patterns in biomass allocation, permafrost degradation, and DP across this large biome.
This study synthesizes the budgets of three greenhouse gases (GHG, namely CO2, CH4, N2O) for Russia over two decades (2000-2009 and 2010-2019) using bottom-up and top-down approaches, as part of the Regional Carbon Cycle Assessment and Processes, Phase 2 (RECCAP2). Published estimates of natural sources and sinks of these GHGs in Russia vary widely. Here, bottom-up estimates are based on eddy covariance measurements, the Integrated Land Information System of Russia (ILIS-LEA), field data, Dynamic Global Vegetation Models (DGVMs), and regional models. The bottom-up approach estimated Net Ecosystem Exchange (NEE) at -0.64 +/- 0.17 and -0.57 +/- 0.14 Pg C yr(-1), for decades 2000-2009 and 2010-2019, respectively. Top-down atmospheric inversions provide similar NEE carbon flux estimates with comparable uncertainties at -0.56 +/- 0.26 and -0.73 +/- 0.27 Pg C yr(-1) for the two decades. Differences between these approaches arise from distinct flux components and structural assumptions. ILIS-LEA indicates a slightly declining carbon sink in 2010-2019, driven by increased disturbances. In contrast, DGVMs suggest a stable carbon sink over both decades but they do not fully simulate the effects of disturbances and recovery. Top-down inversions reveal an increasing CO2 sink, suggesting with additional observed constraints on biomass carbon increment that soil and non-forest biomes absorb more carbon than predicted by DGVMs and ILIS-LEA models. A Bayesian averaging approach estimates natural ecosystems acting as a GHG sink with a land-to-atmosphere flux of -1.55 +/- 0.91 and -1.47 +/- 0.82 Pg CO2-eq. yr(-1). Accounting for both natural and anthropogenic emissions across the Russian territory shifts the net GHG balance to a source around 1.2 Pg CO2-eq. yr(-1).
Climate change occurs more rapidly at high latitudes, making polar ecosystems highly vulnerable to environmental changes. Plants respond to these conditions by altering the fluxes of water vapor (H2O) and carbon dioxide (CO2). This study analyzed the seasonal variability of the Net Ecosystem Exchange (NEE) of CO2, as well as the sensible (H) and latent (LE) heat fluxes, in two ecosystems in north-central Siberia: a subarctic palsa mire near Igarka, and a mature larch forest near Tura. The flux responses to variations in atmospheric parameters were also assessed. Experimental data were collected from 2019 to 2023 using eddy covariance methods. The results showed that both permafrost ecosystems consistently served as net atmospheric CO2 sinks during the growing seasons, despite significant year-to-year meteorological variations. From 2019 to 2023, summer NEE ranged from −62.9 to −120.2 gC m−2 in the Igarka palsa mire and from −63.5 to −83.6 gC m−2 in the Tura larch forest. During summer periods characterized by prolonged insufficient soil moisture, higher air temperatures, and limited precipitation, the palsa mire exhibited reduced CO2 uptake (i.e., less negative NEE) and Gross Primary Production (GPP) compared to the larch forest. These results suggest that larch forests may be more resilient to climate change than palsa mires. This resilience is primarily linked to deep-rooted water access and conservative stomatal control in larch, whereas palsa mire vegetation depends strongly on surface moisture availability. H and LE fluxes exhibited significant interannual variations, primarily due to variations in incoming solar radiation and precipitation. No significant LE decrease occurred during periods of low precipitation in 2019 and 2020 when drought conditions were observed at both stations during the summer. Maximum H and LE flux rates occurred in June and July when net radiation values were at their maximum for both ecosystems. These findings underscore the urgent need for ecosystem-specific climate strategies, as differential resilience could significantly impact future carbon dynamics in the rapidly warming Arctic.
Abstract—Based on retrospective comparison with the data of ground-based spectroscopic measurements carried out in Peterhof by St. Petersburg State University (SPbSU) and aircraft measurements carried out in the area of the Novosibirsk Reservoir by the Zuev Institute of Atmospheric Optics in 2019–2022, results of application of a new version of the regression technique for determining the total carbon dioxide XCO2 content (the mole fraction of atmospheric CO2 in dry air) by measurements of the IKFS-2 infrared Fourier spectrometer of the Meteor-M No. 2 Russian meteorological satellite are analyzed. A description of changes made in the technique to improve the accuracy of satellite estimates is given. For example, to compensate for the influence of changes in IKFS-2 characteristics during a long flight on the XCO2 estimates, they are calibrated based on the results of ground measurements from the NOAA observatory at Mauna Loa volcano (the island of Hawai’i). After calibration and filtering of cloud scenes, the divergence of satellite estimates from ground and aircraft measurements is characterized by a mean square deviation of 4 ppm or 1
The rate at which forests take up atmospheric CO2 is critical because of their potential to mitigate climate change and their value for wood production. The allocation of carbon fixed through photosynthesis into biomass can be quantified through the tree carbon (C) use efficiency (CUE), which is determined by gross primary production (GPP) and plant respiration (Ra) via the relation CUE=(GPP-Ra)/GPP. The effect of future climate on CUE is unclear due to the highly uncertain response of plant respiration to the expected increases in temperature and possible changes in tissue nitrogen (N) concentrations that also affect GPP and Ra. We aim to develop novel data-driven estimates of plant respiration, net primary production (NPP=GPP-Ra) and tree CUE covering the northern hemisphere boreal and temperate forests. These will be based on recent satellite-driven maps of tree living biomass, databases of N concentration measurements in tree compartments (leaves, branches, stem sapwood, roots) and the relationships between respiration rates and tissue N concentrations and temperature. Such estimates will enable the detection of spatial relationships between CUE and environmental conditions and facilitate the parameterization of dynamic global vegetation models to predict the change in Ra, NPP and CUE in response to future climate and forest management. Here we compile an unprecedented database of N concentration measurements in tree stems, branches and roots covering all common boreal and temperate tree genera together with data available mainly for leaves from databases like TRY. We apply this database to test different hypotheses on the controls of tree tissue N concentration and allocation. We find that the variation in tree tissue N concentrations of boreal and temperate trees is controlled by their leaf type (broadleaf deciduous, needleleaf deciduous, needleleaf evergreen), growth rate (fast- vs. slow-growing), tree age/size and climate conditions. These relationships have important implications on the coupling of the C and N cycles in the vegetation, since tissue N concentrations determine photosynthesis, growth and plant respiration. Thus, by altering tissue N concentrations, changes in the distribution of tree species, in tree age/size or in climate, induced by climate change, forest management or disturbances, can affect the C sequestration potential of boreal and temperate forests. Subsequently, we use machine learning approaches to explain the variation in tree tissue N concentrations. We combine the derived tree-level relationships between tissue N concentrations and the above-mentioned underlying drivers, tree species distribution maps, and tree tissue biomass products based on satellite remote sensing. In this way, we derive novel estimates of the spatial distribution of tissue N concentrations and contents in northern boreal and temperate forests. These will be the basis for spatial estimates of Ra, NPP and CUE in these ecosystems. Finally, we aim to identify their climate change mitigation potential by determining which tree species allocate the highest share of N to their leaves and which species exhibit the highest CUE under different climatic conditions.
Ecosystem productivity and carbon uptake in the circumpolar boreal forest are contingent on available nitrogen, which ultimately originates from inputs via deposition and biological nitrogen fixation. Nitrogen deposition rates in boreal forests are relatively small compared to other biomes, and most biological nitrogen fixation research has focused on moss-diazotroph associations. However, the relative contributions of these two primary nitrogen inputs to ecosystem nitrogen stocks have not been widely investigated. In this study, we combined a mass balance approach and literature synthesis to estimate rates of nitrogen accumulation and nitrogen inputs across a network of 18 wildfire chronosequences spanning the boreal biome. We found that nitrogen accumulation rates were strongly linked with fire regime (stand-replacing versus surface fires) and canopy dominance (deciduous versus evergreen canopies). Furthermore, a considerable amount of accumulating nitrogen in these boreal forests was unexplained by the known inputs estimated from the literature synthesis, particularly in forests with stand-replacing fire regimes and more deciduous tree cover that together had the highest nitrogen accumulation rates. This unexplained fraction of nitrogen inputs in some forests may originate from poorly quantified niches of biological nitrogen fixation. Exploring this research frontier will help improve predictions of boreal forest nitrogen cycling and carbon uptake in changing climate and wildfire regimes.
Photosynthesis, growth, and plant maintenance respiration are closely related to tree tissue nitrogen (N) concentrations. While earlier studies of the variation in tissue N concentrations and underlying controls have mostly focused on leaves, here we identify the large-scale controls of N concentration in other tree compartments for the first time. This is achieved by constructing and analysing a novel database of N concentrations in stems, roots, and branches covering all common Northern Hemisphere boreal and temperate tree genera, combined with data for leaves mostly from existing databases. This database allows us to explore the large-scale abiotic (climate, soil N concentration) and biotic controls (tree age/size, leaf type, growth rate) of tree tissue N concentration. We find that N concentrations decrease with increasing tree age (or size) and are significantly higher in deciduous compared to evergreen trees in all tissues. Low growth rates or unfavourable climate conditions (very cold or dry climate) significantly decrease leaf (the latter only for needleleaf deciduous and needleleaf evergreen trees) but not stem N concentration, indicating their effects on N allocation. Plant traits and environmental conditions together explain very large parts of the variation in tissue N concentrations. These results suggest that changes in the distribution of tree age/size, species, and extreme climate, induced by climate change, forest management, or disturbances, will have substantial consequences for the carbon (C) sequestration potential of boreal and temperate forests by altering tissue N concentrations. We expect that the expansion of tree species better adapted to dry conditions in European temperate forests will result in a higher N concentration in all tree tissues and elevated N allocation fractions to stems, which might lead to higher productivity but also higher maintenance respiration. The identified relationships need to be represented in dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs) to estimate future effects of N limitation on the C cycle.
Increased warming in the Arctic is of great concern. This is particularly due to permafrost degradation, which is expected to accelerate microbial breakdown of soil organic carbon, with its further release into the atmosphere as carbon dioxide (CO2). The fine-scale variability of CO2 fluxes across highly mosaic Arctic tundra landscapes can provide us with insights into the diverse responses of individual plant communities to environmental change. In the paper, we contribute to filling existing gaps by investigating the variability of CO2 flux rates within different landscape units for dominant vegetation communities and plant species across typical tundra of the southern part of the Taimyr Peninsula, Siberia. In general, the variability of soil CO2 flux illustrates a four-fold increase from non-vascular vegetation, mainly lichens and mosses (1.05 ± 0.36 µmol m−2 s−1), towards vascular plants (3.59 ± 0.51 µmol m−2 s−1). Barren ground (“frost boils”) shows the lowest value of 0.79 ± 0.21 µmol m−2 s−1, while considering the Arctic “browning” phenomenon, a further substantial increase of CO2 flux can be expected with shrub expansion. Given the high correlation with top soil temperature, well-drained and relatively dry habitats such as barren ground and non-vascular vegetation are expected to be the most sensitive to the observed and projected temperature growth in the Arctic. For mixed vegetation and vascular species that favor wetter conditions, soil moisture appears to play a greater role. Based on the modeled seasonal pattern of soil CO2 flux and precipitation records, and applying the rainfall simulations in situ we outlined the role of precipitation across enhanced CO2 emissions (i.e., the “Birch” effect). We found that a pulse-like growth of soil CO2 fluxes, observed within the first few minutes after rainfall on vegetated plots, reaches 0.99 ± 0.48 µmol m−2 s−1 per each 1 mm of precipitation, while barren ground shows 55–70% inhibition of CO2 emission during the first several hours. An average additive effect of precipitation on soil CO2 flux may achieve 7–12% over the entire growing season, while the projected increased precipitation regime in the Arctic may strengthen the total CO2 release from the soil surface to the atmosphere during the growing season.
Soil respiration (SR) is one of the largest fluxes in the global carbon cycle, exceeding anthropogenic CO2 emission by more than an order of magnitude. Estimation of the heterotrophic component of SR is necessary to assess the carbon balance on the ecosystem and on the regional, national, and global scales. Within the framework of the most important national innovation project “Development of a System of Ground-based and Remote Monitoring of Carbon Pools and Greenhouse Gas Fluxes on the Territory of the Russian Federation,” the first Russian national network is organized to monitor CO2 emission from soils and other linked parameters. The SR values and the relationship with the temperature of the upper 5- to 10-cm layer of soil (TS) are analyzed for the first time on the territory of Russia based on methodologically identical field measurements conducted simultaneously in the summer period (June–August 2023) at 75 monitoring sites in the different ecosystems in the main Russian bioclimatic zones from the tundra to the semidesert. The positive effect of soil temperature on the mean summer SR rate and the maximum monthly SR values is observed in the interval of mean TS from 10 to 20°C. Among the ecosystems studied, the lowest SR values are recorded in tundra and bog ecosystems, while the highest values are in the forest–steppe. Amongst the forest ecosystems, the lowest SR rates are characteristic of larch forests, while the highest SR values are observed in broadleaved forests of the forest–steppe zone. To clarify the regularities obtained, it is necessary to expand studies in all bioclimatic zones, but mainly in agrocenoses, tundra, and steppe ecosystems.
Наблюдаемый рост температуры, вызванный увеличением концентраций климатически активных (парниковых) газов в атмосфере, в первую очередь диоксида углерода (CO2) и метана (CH4), может быть причиной прогнозируемого высвобождения углерода, аккумулированного за тысячелетия на обширных территориях северных широт. Масштабы и длительность ожидаемого эффекта остаются открытым вопросом, что обусловлено спорадичностью количественных оценок потоков углерода. В работе отражены текущий статус, направления и основные результаты многолетних инструментальных исследований потоков углерода в экосистемах подзоны средней тайги Центральной Сибири, на базе Средне-Енисейского стационара Института леса им. В. Н. Сукачева СО РАН (обсерватории ZOTTO). Представлена динамика концентрации СО2и CH4в атмосфере с 2009 по 2020 г. Приведены данные чистого экосистемного обмена СО2для лесоболотных комплексов, свидетельствующие, что они выступают поглотителем (стоком) СО2атмосферы. Для репрезентативных экосистем дана оценка почвенных эмиссионных потоков СО2и сезонный ход фотосинтетической ассимиляции углерода доминантами подчиненного яруса растительности. Выявлены закономерности поведения растворенных форм углерода в водах ручьев, дренирующих олиготрофный и эвтрофный болотные массивы в районе исследований, представлены показатели эмиссии СО2с водной поверхности. The observed increase in temperature, caused by increasing concentrations of climate-active (greenhouse) gases in the atmosphere, primarily carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4), may be responsible for the projected release of carbon accumulated over millennia in large areas of northern latitudes. The scale and duration of the expected effect remains an open question, due to the sporadic nature of quantitative estimates of carbon flows. The work reflects the current status, directions and main results of long-term instrumental studies of carbon flows in the ecosystems of the middle taiga subzone of Central Siberia, on the basis of the Middle Yenisei experimental station of V. N. Sukachev Institute of Forest, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences (ZOTTO observatory). The dynamics of CO2and CH4concentrations in the atmosphere from 2009 to 2020 are presented. The values of net ecosystem exchange of CO2for forest-swamp complexes are given, indicating that they act as a sink (sink) of atmospheric CO2. For representative ecosystems, an assessment of soil CO2emission fluxes and the seasonal variation in the values of photosynthetic carbon assimilation by dominants of the subordinate vegetation layer are presented. The patterns of behavior of dissolved forms of carbon in the waters of streams draining oligotrophic and eutrophic swamps in the study area were revealed, and the values of CO2emission from the water surface were presented.
An understanding of how boreal forest composition responds to global environmental changes is an important challenge to predicting the future global carbon balance. Boreal forests are the most significant sink for atmospheric carbon dioxide; however, their sequestration capacity is highly sensitive to ongoing climate changes. The combination of the hydrothermal conditions of a territory strongly regulates its biogeochemical processes. The carbon fluxes in boreal forests are strongly mediated by the ground vegetation cover, composed of mosses (mesic) and lichens (xeric). Despite the concurrence of xeric and mesic vegetation types, their responses to climate variations varies significantly. Soil emission is an informative indicator of ecosystem functioning. In this study, we focused on the soil CO2 dynamics during frost-free seasons with different precipitation regimes in the xeric and mesic boreal ecosystems of Central Siberia. Seasonal measurements of soil CO2 emissions were conducted during frost-free seasons using the dynamic chamber method. Our findings reveal that the precipitation regimes of each year may control the seasonal soil emission dynamics. The soil moisture is the most important driver of emissions growth in the water-limited lichen pine forest (R2adj. = 18%). The soil temperature plays the largest role in the feather moss pine forest during the dry (R2adj. = 31%) seasons, and in the lichen pine forest during the wet (R2adj. = 41%) seasons. The cumulative efflux for the xeric and mesic sites is mostly related to the hydrothermal conditions, and not to the differences in ground vegetation cover. During the dry seasons, on average, the soil CO2 emissions are 45% lower than during the wet seasons for both sites. These findings emphasize the need for estimating and including the hydrothermal characteristics of the growing season for detailed emission assessments.
The load on the Antarctic oases has been recently increasing, with intensive research carried out by various countries and ecological tourism developing. This leads to an increase in the impact on the aquatic ecosystems of the lakes and streams in addition to the warming climate and glacier melting. This paper presents findings from a study of the Fildes Peninsula (King George Island) lakes’ aquatic ecosystems in the summer period of January–February 2020. In addition to results of hydrological and hydrochemical studies, the paper provides data from measurements of the self-cleaning ability of representative oasis lakes, as well as greenhouse gas fluxes from the lakes surface. The water level of the streams decreased 5 times over the summer season, and the water discharge — 10 times. The streams flowing from the glacier have the fullest water. The lakes have a neutral reaction, sometimes weakly alkaline; they are well aerated: the average value of dissolved oxygen in water is 85 %, occasionally supersaturation of up to 137% was observed. The concentration of nutrients in the water has amplitudes that are considerable for Antarctic oases lakes. A significant correlation can only be observed between nitrates and phosphates, and also between the water turbidity and the nutrients’ concentration. Maximum turbidity is observed in lakes with abundant content of bacterial mats. Most of the lakes have hydrochemical type II sodium chloride waters. The assessment of the lake self-cleaning ability using the ratio of destruction and organic matter production showed the general ability of ecosystems to cope with external (natural) pressures on ecosystems, but not in all cases. Eutrophication of the lakes and stream valleys is also noted. Carbon dioxide (CO2) absorption was observed in most of the streams and lakes, in some of them — methane (CH4) absorption as well. However, CH4 is generally emitted from the surface of the lakes. The largest values are recorded for small lakes located on glacial moraines and in places where ornithosoils are present. The agreement of the findings from the hydroecological studies of the Fildes peninsula lakes with those presented earlier by other authors makes it possible to conclude that there is a certain resistance of the lakes to climatic changes, but one can already talk about a significant anthropogenic impact on the freshwater oasis ecosystems.
The importance of floodplains in carbon (C) evasion from the lotic systems is especially important in continental plains of low runoff such as the organic-rich Western Siberian Lowland (WSL). To quantify the relative importance of the floodplain compared to main stem CO2 emissions, we monitored a large region of the Ob River's middle course (permafrost-free zone) over 3 months from spring to summer. We calculated seasonal water coverage using remote sensing, GIS and hydrologically-based approaches and measured CO2 emissions using floating chambers. There was a strongly pronounced seasonality in the water area's extent of the floodplain with water covering > 40 % of land during the similar to 30 days of the most intensive spring flood (May - June) and subsequently declining to <= 10 % during summer (July-August). Maximal CO2 emissions were recorded in most shallow water bodies of the floodplain, notably in temporary flooded fens and birch forests. The CO2 emissions during the study period ranged from 0.2 +/- 0.2 to 0.9 +/- 0.2 g Cm-2 d(-1) for the floodplain and 0.03 +/- 0.34 g C m(-2) d(-1) for the Ob's main channel.CO2 emissions from the floodplain were similar to 163 +/- 20 t C per km for the river's main stem during the 95 day study period. The partial contributions of temporary flooded zones, main stem, and permanent lakes / secondary channels to total emissions (1820 km(2) area) were 70, 16, and 14 %, respectively. Over spring and summer seasons, contributions from flooded zones ranged from 43 to 99 % of total CO2 emissions from water surfaces of the Ob River's middle course. Extrapolation of obtained results to the entire territory of the Ob River floodplain indicates that not accounting for the floodplain emissions may sizably-up to an order of magnitude-underestimate the CO2 emissions from riverine systems in Western Siberia during open water period. Future work on the Ob River floodplain in the permafrost-bearing zone should be prioritized and would allow adequate upscaling of C emission from this environmentally important territory.
Boreal forests nowadays act as a sink for atmospheric carbon dioxide; however, their sequestration capacity is highly sensitive to weather conditions and, specifically to ongoing climate warming. Extreme weather events such as heavy rainfalls or, conversely, heat waves during the growing season might perturb the ecosystem carbon balance and convert them to an additional CO2 source. Thus, there is an urgent need to revise ecosystem carbon fluxes in vast Siberian taiga ecosystems as influenced by extreme weather events. In this study, we focused on the soil CO2 pulses appearing after the rainfall events and quantification of their input to the seasonal cumulative CO2 efflux in the boreal forests in Central Siberia. Seasonal measurements of soil CO2 fluxes (both soil respiration and net soil exchange) were conducted during three consecutive frost-free seasons using the dynamic chamber method. Seasonal dynamics of net soil exchange fluxes demonstrated positive values, reflecting that soil respiration rates exceeded CO2 uptake in the forest floor vegetation layer. Moreover, the heavy rains caused a rapid pulse of soil emissions and, as a consequence, the release of additional amounts of CO2 from the soil into the atmosphere. A single rain event may cause a 5–11-fold increase of the NSE flux compared to the pre-rainfall values. The input of CO2 pulses to the seasonal cumulative efflux varied from near zero to 39% depending on precipitation patterns of a particular season. These findings emphasize the critical need for more frequent measurements of soil CO2 fluxes throughout the growing season which capture the CO2 pulses induced by rain events. This approach has inevitable importance for the accurate assessment of seasonal CO2 soil emissions and adequate predictions of response of boreal pine forests to climatic changes.
Permafrost thawing as a result of climate change has major consequences locally and globally, both for the biosphere and for human activities. The quantification of its extent and dynamics under different climate scenarios is needed to design local adaptation and mitigation measures and to better understand permafrost climate feedbacks. To this end, numerical simulation can be used to explore the response of soil thermal and hydrological regimes to changes in climatic conditions. Mechanistic approaches minimise modelling assumptions by relying on the numerical resolution of continuum mechanics equations, but they involve significant computational effort. In this work, the permaFoam solver is used, along with high-performance computing resources, to assess the impact of four climate scenarios of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) on permafrost dynamics within a pristine, forest-dominated watershed in the continuous-permafrost zone. Using these century-timescale simulations, changes in the soil temperature, soil moisture, active layer thickness, and water fluxes are quantified, assuming no change in the vegetation cover. The most severe scenario (SSP5-8.5) suggests a dramatic increase in both the active layer thickness and annual evapotranspiration, with the maximum values on the watershed increasing by, respectively, +65 % and +35 % by 2100 compared to current conditions. For the active layer thickness, a variable that integrates both the thermal and hydrological states of the near-surface permafrost, this projected increase would correspond to a ∼350 km southward shift in current climatic conditions. Moreover, in this scenario, the thermal equilibrium of near-surface permafrost with the new climatic conditions would not be reached in 2100, suggesting a further thawing of permafrost even in the case in which climate change is halted.