Several Decadal-level questions in astrophysics, exoplanets, astrobiology, and cosmology can be addressed only at low radio frequencies inaccessible from Earth. The MegaWave Radio Surveyor would open this largely-unexplored region of the electromagnetic spectrum with a space-based interferometer to (1) Track the space weather of other stars; (2) Detect magnetically-generated emission from exoplanets to probe their interiors and assess magnetic shielding of their atmospheres; (3) Probe the Universe's evolution during the Dark Ages via the highly-redshifted HI hyperfine line; and (4) Assess the role of cosmic rays and magnetic fields in the cosmic web. An Astrophysics Strategic Technology Research Accelerator (ASTRA) Initiative concept, the MegaWave Radio Surveyor's science objectives respond to the Pathways to Discovery Decadal Survey and three other National Academies studies, and it would serve as a Formative Era mission in the Enduring Quests, Daring Visions roadmap. Developments in U.S. space industries enable this observatory to be realized. The MegaWave Radio Surveyor would offer a versatile, scalable, and resilient architecture capable of sensitive and simultaneous observations below 45 MHz and unprecedented angular resolution at these frequencies. The concept builds upon NASA's Sun Radio Interferometer Space Experiment (SunRISE), Star-Planet Activity Research CubeSat (SPARCS), and Lunar Surface Electromagnetics Experiment (LuSEE-Night). The MegaWave Radio Surveyor could leverage multiple elements of the Artemis program, such as access to and beyond cislunar space and communications, and there are opportunities to infuse new autonomy/AI modes for mission operations. By opening one of the last windows in the electromagnetic spectrum and pioneering space interferometry at unprecedented scales, the MegaWave Radio Surveyor would establish a transformational capability.
In this chapter, we provide a comprehensive overview of the astrophysical and cosmological processes that shape the 21-cm signal during Cosmic Dawn and the Epoch of Reionization. We investigate both standard and exotic signatures potentially observable with SKA-Low. Standard signatures are those expected within the ΛCDM framework, including contributions from the first stars, galaxies, and black holes. Exotic signatures are more speculative indicating new physics, such as primordial black holes, modifications to the dark matter sector, non-standard primordial fluctuations, or strongly emitting radio galaxies. The effects of these different sources or scenarios are evaluated in the context of the expected sensitivity of SKA-Low, considering the AA* and AA4 configurations. The chapter aims to provide an overview of the theoretical landscape of 21-cm signatures and to highlight how the forthcoming SKA-Low observations will improve our understanding of astrophysical processes at early times and may open the door towards new physics beyond the ΛCDM framework.
Measurements from the Absolute Radiometer for Cosmology, Astrophysics, and Diffuse Emission 2 (ARCADE-2) reveal a strong radio background in the GHz frequency range. Since the cosmological 21-cm signal is measured relative to the background radiation temperature, the presence of a radio excess can significantly alter its characteristics. Previous studies have explored the impact of an inhomogeneous radio background on the global 21-cm signal and 21-cm power spectrum. This non-uniform radio background is also expected to introduce substantial non-Gaussianity. In this work, using the bispectrum, we analyze the non-Gaussianity in the 21-cm signal in the presence of an excess galactic radio background and investigate how line-of-sight radio fluctuations from early galaxies influence its nature. We find that even a moderate enhancement in radio efficiency in early galaxies significantly affects the small-scale 21-cm bispectrum. Furthermore, the delayed heating transition caused by a galactic radio background shifts the sign change in the squeezed-limit bispectrum to lower redshifts (z∼11), providing a potential observational signature for distinguishing different radio background models. These results demonstrate that the 21-cm bispectrum, particularly in the squeezed limit, is highly sensitive to radio background fluctuations, making it a powerful tool for probing high-redshift radio-loud sources and the physics of the early cosmic epoch.
The spin-flip 21-cm signal from the Cosmic Dawn and the Epoch of Reionization is an essential probe of the conditions that led to the formation of the first luminous objects in the early Universe. However, its detection remains a major challenge owing to its low strength compared to the bright foregrounds and the requirement of precise calibration of the instrument to prevent systematics that could hinder a detection or lead to false inferences. REACH (Radio Experiment for the Analysis of Cosmic Hydrogen) is a radiometer experiment designed to detect this sky-averaged signal in the frequency range of 50–130 MHz. Using a wide-beam antenna, REACH calibration relies on internal reference sources, covering a broad range of temperatures and reflection coefficients. The choice of type and number of calibrators used significantly influences the quality of the calibration. This work investigates these effects and introduces a novel method for selecting an optimal set of calibration sources. With an optimised set, we aim to reduce calibration time, thereby increasing sky integration time while preserving calibration accuracy. We explore two optimisation strategies: one applied across the full receiver band and another performed on a frequency-by-frequency basis. Finally, we demonstrate that, with a total calibration time comparable to the conventional full-calibrator set, an optimised set with fewer calibrators achieves approximately a 15 % reduction in calibrated temperature noise and improved absolute calibration of the instrument. This has implications for better calibration strategies in similar radiometer experiments.
Recent experiments in cosmology, particularly those aimed at detecting the faint, redshifted, global 21 cm hydrogen line (depth < ~200 mK, z > 7.5), have imposed stringent new requirements on radiometer calibration. In this work, we present a framework for circuit modeling and parameter inference to strengthen these calibration pipelines. This new approach enables in situ characterization of otherwise immeasurable systematics using physically motivated models. A combination of frequentist and Bayesian techniques are employed in a pipeline that supports iterative modeling, robust parameter estimation, and detailed uncertainty quantification. The framework is applied to the REACH telescope, where the precise correction of variations in the radio signal paths arising from component aging or environmental effects is critical. Circuit models of REACH's calibration sources are developed, with the goal of predicting source temperature corrections that are conventionally obtained from laboratory measurements. By fitting the models to measured data using a convolutional cost function, a strong agreement with RMS residuals no worse than -37 dB is obtained. However, Bayesian inference reveals that the resulting temperature corrections can have uncertainties on the order of 1 to 2 K, caused by reflection coefficient degeneracies, measurement noise, and errors in the models. To combat this, posteriors obtained from laboratory measurements are employed as updated priors, reducing correction uncertainties down to 75 mK. Ultimately, the framework provides a means of dynamically accounting for drift in system non-idealities over time, addressing the increasing precision demands of global 21 cm radio astronomy.
High-mass X-ray binaries are one of the primary drivers of the 21-cm signal from Cosmic Dawn and Reionization, playing a leading role in the thermal history of the intergalactic medium. In traditional semi-numerical simulations, a deterministic scaling relation between the total X-ray luminosity of high-mass X-ray binaries, L_ X, and star formation rate (SFR) is usually adopted. However, this assumption is inaccurate for high-redshift low-SFR regions hosting few sources. The spatial variation in the number and luminosity of these sources is expected to enhance fluctuations in the Cosmic Dawn 21-cm signal. Here we quantify this effect by introducing a stochastic L_ X model sampled from a power-law X-ray luminosity function. Implementing this in 21cmSPACE, a large-scale simulation framework of Cosmic Dawn and Reionization, we find that the stochasticity leads to enhanced fluctuations in X-ray heating rate fields, and affects the 21-cm power spectrum on small scales (k>0.3 cMpc^-1). The impact of stochasticity on the global 21-cm signal and on the large-scale power spectrum is found to be negligible. Our results suggest these effects will remain undetected by the upcoming Square Kilometer Array. However, large-scale lunar-based experiments may be sensitive to the signatures of stochastic X-ray heating at z∼ 25. Quantifying these corrections is a vital step toward robust 21-cm modeling and ensuring that future precision data interpretation is free from astrophysical biases.
The first stars, the chemically pristine Population III, likely played an important role in heating the intergalactic medium during the epoch of cosmic dawn. The very high effective temperatures (similar to 10(5) K) predicted for the most massive Population III stars could also give rise to tell-tale signatures in the emission-line spectra of early star clusters or small galaxies dominated by such stars. Important quantities in modelling their observational signatures include their photon production rates at ultraviolet energies at which photons are able to ionize hydrogen and helium, dissociate molecular hydrogen and cause Ly alpha heating. Here, we model the spectral energy distributions of Population III stars to explore how these key quantities are affected by the initial mass and rotation of Population III stars given a wide range of models for the evolution of these stars. Our results indicate that rotating Population III stars that evolve to effective temperatures similar to 2 x 10(5) K could potentially give rise to a very strong He ii 1640 angstrom emission line in the spectra from primordial star clusters, without requiring stellar masses of greater than or similar to 100 M-circle dot indicated by previous models for non-rotating Population III stars. The observable impact on 21-cm signatures from cosmic dawn and the epoch of reionization from our set of rotating stars that evolve to similar to 2 x 10(5) K is modest, except in case of high Population III star formation efficiencies which imprint potentially detectable features in the global 21-cm signal and 21-cm power spectrum.
We report the first upper limits on the power spectrum of 21 cm fluctuations during the Epoch of Reionization and Cosmic Dawn from Phase II of the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA) experiment. HERA Phase II constitutes several significant improvements in the signal chain compared to Phase I, most notably resulting in expanded frequency bandwidth, from 50–250 MHz. In these first upper limits, we investigate a small two-week subset of the available Phase II observations, with a focus on identifying new systematic characteristics of the instrument, and establishing an analysis pipeline to account for them. We report 2 σ upper limits in eight spectral bands, spanning 5.6 ≤ z ≤ 24.4 that are consistent with thermal noise at the 2 σ level for k ≳ 0.6–0.9 h Mpc ^−1 (band dependent). Our tightest limit during Cosmic Dawn ( z > 12) is 1.13 × 10 ^6 mK ^2 at ( k = 0.55 h Mpc ^−1 , z = 16.78), and during the EoR (5.5 < z < 12), it is 1.78 × 10 ^3 mK ^2 at ( k = 0.70 h Mpc ^−1 , z = 7.05). We find that mutual coupling has become our dominant systematic, leaking foreground power that strongly contaminates the low- k modes, resulting in the loss of modes from k = 0.35 to 0.55 compared to Phase I data.
The 21 cm line of hydrogen is the most promising probe of the Dark Ages and Cosmic Dawn. We combine hydrodynamical simulations with a large-scale grid in order to calculate the effect of nonlinear structure formation on the large-scale 21 cm power spectrum, focusing on redshifts z = 20-40. As the clumping effect arises from small-scale density fluctuations, it offers a unique opportunity to probe the standard cold dark matter model in a new regime and thus potentially investigate the properties of dark matter. To this end, we also study a warm dark matter-like model with a Gaussian cutoff on a scale of 50 kpc. We find that clumping has a significant impact on the large-scale 21 cm power spectrum, requiring a substantial correction to standard theoretical predictions. For example, for the Dark Ages case at z = 30 and wavenumber k = 0.05 Mpc-1, small-scale clustering enhances the 21 cm power spectrum by 13%. Once Ly alpha coupling kicks in due to the first stars, the 21 cm signal strengthens, and the effect of clumping grows; it suppresses the observable power spectrum at z = 20 by 45%, while the warm dark matter-like model has less than half the clumping impact. The clumping effect is significantly higher than the sensitivity of the planned Square Kilometre Array AA star configuration, by up to a factor of 20 for standard cold dark matter, though detection will require separation from foregrounds and from astrophysical contributions to the 21 cm power spectrum.
Fuzzy Dark Matter (FDM), composed of ultra-light axions (m_a ∼ 1 × 10^-22 eV), exhibits wave-like properties that can significantly impact early-universe star formation. Using the arepo code with the axirepo module, we simulate the assembly of haloes across a range of axion masses (1 × 10^-22 eV ≤ m_a ≤ 7 × 10^-22 eV) and halo masses (3 × 10^8 M_⊙≤ M_h ≤ 8 × 10^9 M_⊙). We investigate how small-scale dynamics of the FDM density field affect the accumulation of cold, dense gas. We find that the delay in star formation scales inversely with both halo mass and axion mass. While the static, cored geometry of the soliton primarily sets the timing of the initial collapse, we identify a secondary dynamical barrier driven by stochastic fluctuations that is most potent at the low-mass end of our parameter space. These dynamics dictate the spatial scale of dense gas by injecting kinetic energy and inducing significant angular momentum, which can rotationally stabilize gas out to the soliton radius. This wave-driven stirring leads to the formation of extended H_2 plumes and promotes dynamical mixing, effectively starving the central regions and forcing gas to cool in a more fragmented, diffuse manner. Our results indicate a shift from the monolithic central star formation seen in CDM toward lower-mass, fragmented clusters. These internal inefficiencies provide a physical mechanism for delaying Cosmic Dawn beyond the effects of the power spectrum cut-off, which is essential for refining observational constraints on the axion mass.
We provide an overview of the eight SKAO Science Book chapters that motivate the Epoch of Reionisation and Cosmic Dawn experiments with SKA-Low. We describe the individual SKA-Low experiments and expected sensitivity - power spectrum, tomography, 21-cm forest, cross-correlations, building on the broad observational plan laid out in the 2015 SKA Science Book. Finally, we outline features of the telescope that will be critical for the success of EoR/CD science, e.g., beam apodization, substations, and multi-beaming.
The 21-cm signal from neutral hydrogen serves as a critical tool for unraveling the astrophysical processes that shaped cosmic dawn and the epoch of reionization. We explore the usually overlooked impact of re-scattering of 21-cm photons during and after reionization, similarly to cosmic microwave background photons. This scattering affects the observed brightness temperature by mixing the original signal with light scattered into the line of sight from other regions, effectively at the mean 21-cm brightness temperature. This gives a small but significant effect. We show that it attenuates the fluctuations in a 21-cm image by $4-7\%$, while reducing the 21-cm power spectrum by a scale-independent $7-13\%$ during cosmic dawn and reionization. Incorporating this correction is vital for precisely comparing theoretical predictions with observations from experiments such as NenuFAR, LOFAR, and HERA, and the upcoming Square Kilometre Array.
We investigate the impact of mixed cold and fuzzy dark matter (MDM) cosmologies on the halo mass function (HMF) using numerical simulations performed with the AxiREPO framework. We consider models in which an ultralight axion-like component with mass m =10^-24.5eV constitutes a fraction f ≤ 0.3 of the total dark matter. To enable consistent halo identification in mixed-species scenarios, we develop a grid-based halo-finding pipeline that combines the particle-based cold dark matter (CDM) and wave-like fuzzy dark matter (FDM) components into a unified density field. We find that FDM traces the large-scale CDM distribution while suppressing small-scale structure through wave interference effects, leading to a reduction in the abundance of low-mass haloes and modifying the HMF in a manner dependent on redshift and FDM fraction. Increasing the FDM fraction produces a systematic downward shift in the HMF and modifies its high-mass slope. Motivated by these trends, we introduce a phenomenological model that maps CDM HMFs to their MDM counterparts using a suppression function with parameters dependent on redshift and FDM fraction. This model reproduces the simulated HMFs within approximately 0.1 to 0.2 dex across the parameter space explored (1 ≤ z ≤ 4, f ≤ 0.3). Our results provide a computationally efficient method for predicting structure formation in MDM cosmologies without requiring dedicated simulations for each parameter choice, and establish a framework for exploring the impact of MDM on cosmological structure formation.
The cosmic 21-cm signal is a promising probe of the early Universe, owing to its sensitivity to the thermal state of the neutral intergalactic medium (IGM) and properties of the first luminous sources. Here, we constrain the 21-cm signal and infer IGM properties using the Population II galaxy parameters derived in a previous study through multiwavelength synergies. This includes high-redshift UV luminosity functions (UVLFs) from Hubble Space Telescope ( HST ) and James Webb Space Telescope (JWST), cosmic X-ray and radio backgrounds (CXB and CRB), the SARAS 3 global 21-cm signal non-detection, and HERA 21-cm power spectrum upper limits. From CXB and HERA data, we infer the IGM kinetic temperature to be T-K(z = 15) less than or similar to 7.7 K, 2.5 K less than or similar to T-K(z = 10) < 66 K, and 20 K less than or similar to T-K(z = 6) less than or similar to 2078 K at 95 percent credible interval. Similarly, CRB and HERA data limit the radio emission efficiency of galaxies, giving T-rad(z = 15) less than or similar to 47 K, T-rad(z = 10) less than or similar to 51 K, and T-rad(z = 6) less than or similar to 101 K. These constraints, strengthened by UVLFs from HST and JWST, enable the first lower bound on the cosmic 21-cm signal. We infer an absorption trough of depth-201 mK less than or similar to T-21,T-min less than or similar to -68 mK at z(min) approximate to 10-16, and a power spectrum of 8.7 mK(2) less than or similar to Delta(2)(21)(z = 15) less than or similar to 197 mK(2) at k = 0.35 hMpc(-1). Our results highlight the power of multiwavelength synergies in constraining the early Universe. While promising for upcoming 21-cm experiments, the results depend on our assumption of a redshift-independent X-ray and radio efficiency of galaxies and on the exclusion of a flexible model for Population III stars.
In this study, we train score-based diffusion models to super-resolve gigaparsec-scale cosmological simulations of the 21-cm signal. We examine the impact of network and training dataset size on model performance, demonstrating that a single simulation is sufficient for a model to learn the super-resolution task regardless of the initial conditions. Our best-performing model achieves pixelwise RMSE∼0.57 mK and dimensionless power spectrum residuals ranging from 10^-2-10^-1 mK^2 for 128^3, 256^3 and 512^3 voxel simulation volumes at redshift 10. The super-resolution network ultimately allows us to utilize all spatial scales covered by the SKA1-Low instrument, and could in future be employed to help constrain the astrophysics of the early Universe.
The precise measurement of the sky-averaged H i signal against the radio background is the goal of global 21-cm cosmology. This measurement has the potential to unravel the underlying physics of cosmic structure formation and evolution during the Cosmic Dawn and the Epoch of Reionization. It is, however, hindered by various non-smooth, frequency-dependent effects, whose structures resemble those of the signal. One such effect is the leakage of polarized foregrounds into the measured intensity signal: polarized foreground emission undergoes Faraday rotation as it passes through the magnetic fields of the interstellar medium, imprinting a chromatic structure which complicates the extraction of the cosmological H i absorption feature. We investigate the effect of polarized Galactic foregrounds on extracting the global 21-cm signal from simulated data using REACH's data analysis pipeline; the Radio Experiment for the Analysis of Cosmic Hydrogen (REACH) is an experiment designed to detect the sky-averaged 21-cm signal using physically informed models. Using the REACH pipeline, we successfully recover injected global 21-cm signals with an amplitude of approximately 0.16 K, centred between 80 and 120 MHz, achieving a low root-mean-square error (less than 30 per cent of the injected signal strength). This includes scenarios with simulated polarized Galactic diffuse emissions and polarized point source emissions, provided the overall polarization fraction is below similar to 3 per cent. The linear mixing of contamination, caused by the superposition of multiple patches with varying strengths of Faraday rotation, produces patterns that are more distinct from the global signal. This distinction makes global signal recovery easier compared to contamination resulting from a single, slow oscillation pattern.
The first generation of stars, known as Population III (Pop III), played a crucial role in the early Universe through their unique formation environment and metal-free composition. These stars can undergo chemically homogeneous evolution (CHE) due to fast rotation, becoming more compact and hotter/bluer than their (commonly assumed) non-rotating counterparts. In this study, we investigate the impact of Pop III CHE on the 21-cm signal and cosmic reionization under various assumptions on Pop III star formation, such as their formation efficiency, initial mass function, and transition to metal-enriched star formation. We combine stellar spectra computed by detailed atmosphere models with seminumerical simulations of Cosmic Dawn and the epoch of reionization ( z similar to 6-30). The key effect of CHE arises from the boosted ionizing power of Pop III stars, which reduces the Pop III stellar mass density required to reproduce the observed Thomson scattering optical depth by a factor of similar to 2. Meanwhile, the maximum 21-cm global absorption signal is shallower by up to similar to 15 mK (11 percent), partly due to the reduced Lyman-band emission from CHE, and the large-scale ( k similar to 0 . 2 cMpc(-1)) power drops by a factor of a few at z >= 25. In general, the effects of CHE can be comparable to those of Pop III star formation parameters, showing an interesting interplay with distinct features in different epochs. These results highlight the importance of metal-free/poor stellar evolution in understanding the early Universe and suggest that future studies should consider joint constraints on the physics of star/galaxy formation and stellar evolution.
Observations of the Epoch of Reionization (EoR) have the potential to answer long-standing questions of astrophysical interest regarding the nature of the first luminous sources and their effects on the intergalactic medium (IGM). We present astrophysical constraints from a Neural Density Estimation-Accelerated Bayesian joint analysis of constraints deriving from Cosmic Microwave Background power spectrum measurements from Planck and SPT, IGM neutral fraction measurements from Lyman-line-based data sets and 21-cm power spectrum upper limits from HERA, LOFAR and the MWA. In the context of the model employed, the data is found to be consistent with galaxies forming from predominantly atomic-cooled hydrogen gas in dark matter halos, with masses M_min≳ 2.6 × 10^9 M_⊙ ((1+z)/10)^1/2 at 95
The formation of the first stars and the subsequent population of X-ray binaries represents a fundamental transition in the state of the Universe as it evolves from near homogeneity to being abundant in collapsed structures such as galaxies. Due to a lack of direct observations, the properties of these stars remain highly uncertain. By considering the impact of the first stars and their remnant X-ray binaries on the cosmological 21-cm signal, we demonstrate that upcoming observations have the potential to significantly improve our understanding of these objects. We find a 25 mK sensitivity measurement of the 21-cm global signal by a wide-beam radiometer, such as REACH, or 3,000 hours of foreground avoidance observations of the 21-cm power spectrum by SKA-Low, could provide three-sigma constraints on the mass distribution of the first stars. Such measurements will fill a critical gap in our understanding of the early Universe and aid in interpreting high-redshift galaxy observations.