INTRODUCTION:Vector-borne diseases (VBDs) pose a growing threat to human and animal health, driven by complex interactions among and between vectors, hosts, pathogens, and the environment. The Nordic region is warming at twice the global average rate, creating novel ecological conditions that reshape VBD transmission dynamics. OBJECTIVES AND METHODS:This narrative review synthesises current knowledge regarding major tick- and mosquito-borne diseases in the Nordic region, with a focus on Finland, based primarily on outputs from the VECLIMIT project (2020-2023), supported by other Nordic studies. RESULTS:The most prevalent human VBDs are Lyme borreliosis (LB), tick-borne encephalitis (TBE), tularaemia, and Sindbis virus (SINV) infections. Over the past decade, LB and particularly TBE incidence have increased, whereas SINV and tularaemia show cyclical patterns. The principal tick vectors Ixodes ricinus and Ixodes persulcatus are expanding geographically, while key mosquito vectors, Aedes cinereus/geminus and Culex pipiens/torrentium, are widespread. Rising temperatures and extended growing seasons promote vector activity and pathogen development, whereas heterogenous environments, such as wetlands and urban green spaces, support vector and host populations. While small mammals serve as key reservoirs for tick-borne pathogens, cervids drive tick propagation, and avian hosts maintain vector-borne enzootic cycles. Substantial gaps remain in prevention and awareness across public, medical, and veterinary sectors. CONCLUSIONS:Climate warming is likely to increase the spread of many endemic and invasive vectors and pathogens, yet surveillance remains limited and understanding of VBD drivers incomplete. Addressing these gaps requires coordinated One Health frameworks leveraging citizen science and cross-border Nordic collaboration.
Background:Tick-borne encephalitis (TBE), caused by tick-borne encephalitis virus (TBEV), is a zoonotic disease that can lead to severe neurological symptoms. Given the increasing number of reported human TBE cases in Europe, we developed a spatio-temporal predictive model to infer the year-to-year probability of human TBE occurrence across Europe at the regional and municipal administrative levels. Methods:We derived the distribution of human TBE cases at the regional level during 2017-2022 by using data provided by the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), and at the municipal level by using data provided by Austria, Finland, Italy, Lithuania, and Slovakia. We modeled the probability of presence of human TBE cases at the regional and municipal levels for the period 2017-2025 with a boosted regression trees model, including covariates that affect both the natural hazard of virus circulation and human exposure to tick bites. Findings:Areas with the highest probability of human TBE infections are located in central-eastern Europe, the Baltic states, and along the coastline of Nordic countries. Our results highlight a statistically significant rising trend in human TBE risk not only in north-western, but also in south-western European countries. Such areas are characterised by the presence of key tick host species, forested areas, intense human activity in forests, steep drops in late summer temperatures and high precipitation amounts during the driest months. The model showed good predictive performance, with a mean AUC of 0.84 (SD = 0.03), sensitivity of 0.83 (SD = 0.01), and specificity of 0.80 (SD = 0.01) at the regional level, and a mean AUC of 0.82 (SD = 0.03), sensitivity of 0.83 (SD = 0.01), and specificity of 0.69 (SD = 0.01) at the municipal level. Interpretation:With ongoing climate and land use changes, the number of human TBE cases is likely to increase and spread into new areas. This highlights the importance of predictive models that can identify potential risk areas to support disease prevention and control efforts by public health authorities. The approach adopted, by fitting a One Health framework and leveraging lagged covaries, enables timely one-year-ahead predictions and enhances our current understanding of TBE risk under a global change scenario.
BACKGROUNDLyme borreliosis (LB) caused by Borrelia burgdorferi sensu lato (Bbsl) spirochetes is the most common tick-borne infection in Europe and the incidence of LB has been increasing in many countries.AIMWe examined changes in Bbsl seroprevalence in Finland over the past 50 years.METHODSWe analysed samples collected from people aged ≥ 15 years in nationwide cross-sectional health surveys conducted over the years 1966-1972, 1978-1980, 2000-2001 and 2017. Samples were screened with an IgG ELISA assay and confirmed with an IgG bead immunoassay. We assessed factors associated with Bbsl seropositivity by generalised linear models.RESULTSSeroprevalence was highest in 1966-1972 (25.0%; 95% confidence interval (CI): 22.3-27.7%), while it was lower in 1978-1980 (16.6%; 95% CI: 14.3-18.9%), 2000-2001 (7.4%; 95% CI: 5.8-9.0%) and 2017 (3.4%; 95% CI: 2.3-4.5%). Male sex (p = 0.0014) and increasing age (p < 0.0001) were associated with higher seropositivity. The estimated probability of being seropositive was highest among residents from southern (least squares (LS) mean: 0.164; 95% CI: 0.139-0.192), central and eastern Finland (LS mean: 0.141; 95% CI: 0.116-0.170) and lowest in northern Finland (LS mean: 0.019; 95% CI: 0.014-0.028).CONCLUSIONOur results show a decrease in the seroprevalence in Finnish people over time. Reasons for this decrease are not clear but could be related to urbanisation, increased awareness, effective diagnostics and prompt antibiotic treatments. Overall, this study demonstrates how repeated serosurveys can help in revealing trends and identifying potential risk groups.
In August 2023, the Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare received reports of a potential cluster of pneumococcal pneumonia cases among shipyard employees in Turku, Finland. Considering a similar outbreak in the same shipyard in 2019, we initiated a case-control study to investigate individual and environmental risk factors specific to this occupational setting in order to inform targeted prevention measures. In total, 14 hospitalized cases were identified from 19 August to 15 October 2023. Streptococcus pneumoniae serotypes 4 and 9 V were isolated from blood cultures of seven cases. Eleven cases and 67 controls working at the shipyard were included in the case-control study. Compared with controls, cases were more likely to be living in an apartment/studio or a hotel/hostel, and less likely in a house or with family. Furthermore, cases were more likely to have a shorter duration of employment (< 1 year) at the shipyard compared to controls. Control measures, including an information and a vaccination campaign, were implemented. We emphasize shipyard-wide hygiene improvements and recommend nationwide consideration of expanding pneumococcal vaccination eligibility to all shipyard construction employees as an occupational high-risk group.
With climate change, the geographic distribution of some VBDs has expanded, highlighting the need for adaptation, and managing the risks associated with emergence in new areas. We conducted a questionnaire survey on the knowledge, attitudes, and practices (KAP) about vector-borne diseases (VBDs) among sample of Finnish residents. The questions were scored and the level of KAP was determined based on scoring as poor, fair, good, or excellent. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the associations of different KAP levels with sex, age, education, and possible previous VPD infection. We received 491/1995 (25%) responses across the country and detected generally good knowledge, but only fair practices towards VBDs. Sex and age of the respondents were most often significantly associated with the level of KAP (P > 0.05). Despite the generally good knowledge, we detected major gaps, especially regarding the distinction of tick-borne encephalitis and Lyme borreliosis (LB), risk of disease, and protective measures. Additionally, many respondents thought the vaccination protects against LB or tick bites. This calls for awareness raising on disease risk and prevention measures. With increasing cases and the effects of climate change, surveillance of VBDs communication to the general public should be strengthened.
Mobile exposure notification applications (ENAs) can play a significant role in future pandemics. Identifying lessons learned and areas for improvement from such applications —particularly within specific social and cultural contexts—is therefore crucial. We evaluated the Finnish ENA “Koronavilkku”, according to chosen key performance indicators to assess the ENA’s use and performance during the COVID-19 pandemic in Finland, and to identify strengths and improvement areas. Using available data on Finland’s ENA we defined metrics for four key performance indicators: ENA usage extent, enablers and barriers to usage, the ENA’s influence on user behavior, and overall acceptability. We performed an evaluation study combining system data and data from a survey of 4 061 respondents conducted in April 2022. A sentiment analysis was performed on open-ended responses. Koronavilkku ENA peak coverage reached approximately 53% of smartphone users shortly after launch. Usage declined over time, particularly among individuals diagnosed with COVID-19. User engagement remained high - among ENA users that received a token, the proportion that entered their token into the ENA was over 50% during the whole study period. Males, individuals over 34, and those living alone were less likely to use the ENA, while those with higher education, and households with children were more likely to be ENA users. Almost 70% of SARS-CoV-2-positive users reported not receiving a token from health authorities. Users adhered at least part-time to pandemic guidance more often than non-users with prevalence ratios ranging from 1.24 (95%CI: 1.19 – 1.29) to 1.65 (95%CI: 1.45 – 1.91). Exposure notifications were particularly effective in reinforcing adherence among partially compliant users but had limited impact on non-compliant individuals. Overall acceptability was relatively high, with 68% of respondents using it at least once. However, 49% of those users eventually discontinued use. Our sentiment analysis of open-ended feedback suggests that users expressed more positive attitudes toward the ENA compared to non-users. However, a significant portion of the feedback reflected neutral or negative sentiments. Based on observed ENA usage trends we recommend maintaining long-term public interest and engagement in ENAs during prolonged emergencies. Tailored communication should be developed encouraging uptake among demographic groups with lower adoption rates. Initial studies during app rollout could inform these strategies. A major barrier to the ENA’s effectiveness was token issuance, therefore earlier and more systematic automation of token distribution in Finland would likely have enhanced effectiveness. Future ENAs should define evaluation criteria during development, with periodic assessments measuring effectiveness and informing improvements. A deeper analysis of open-ended feedback provided for the Koronavilkku ENA using advanced language models could provide additional insights into user perceptions and concerns. By addressing these areas, future digital contact tracing tools can be more effective, widely accepted, and better integrated into pandemic response efforts.
BACKGROUND:European epidemic intelligence (EI) systems receive vast amounts of information and data on disease outbreaks and potential health threats. The quantity and variety of available data sources for EI, as well as the available methods to manage and analyse these data sources, are constantly increasing. Our aim was to identify the difficulties encountered in this context and which innovations, according to EI practitioners, could improve the detection, monitoring and analysis of disease outbreaks and the emergence of new pathogens. METHODS:We conducted a qualitative study to identify the need for innovation expressed by 33 EI practitioners of national public health and animal health agencies in five European countries and at the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC). We adopted a stepwise approach to identify the EI stakeholders, to understand the problems they faced concerning their EI activities, and to validate and further define with practitioners the problems to address and the most adapted solutions to their work conditions. We characterized their EI activities, professional logics, and desired changes in their activities using NvivoⓇ software. RESULTS:Our analysis highlights that EI practitioners wished to collectively review their EI strategy to enhance their preparedness for emerging infectious diseases, adapt their routines to manage an increasing amount of data and have methodological support for cross-sectoral analysis. Practitioners were in demand of timely, validated and standardized data acquisition processes by text mining of various sources; better validated dataflows respecting the data protection rules; and more interoperable data with homogeneous quality levels and standardized covariate sets for epidemiological assessments of national EI. The set of solutions identified to facilitate risk detection and risk assessment included visualization, text mining, and predefined analytical tools combined with methodological guidance. Practitioners also highlighted their preference for partial rather than full automation of analyses to maintain control over the data and inputs and to adapt parameters to versatile objectives and characteristics. CONCLUSIONS:The study showed that the set of solutions needed by practitioners had to be based on holistic and integrated approaches for monitoring zoonosis and antimicrobial resistance and on harmonization between agencies and sectors while maintaining flexibility in the choice of tools and methods. The technical requirements should be defined in detail by iterative exchanges with EI practitioners and decision-makers.
There has been a lack of information on vaccine acceptance for Finnish adults. We conducted a secondary analysis of cross-sectional data collected through the Finnish Medicines Agency Medicine Barometer 2021 survey (response rate: 20.6%). We described and explained vaccine acceptance by investigating the associations between socio-demographic factors and statements using logistic regression and conducted a factor analysis. The majority of respondents (n = 2081) considered vaccines to be safe (93%), effective (97%), and important (95%). However, 20% and 14% felt they did not have enough information about vaccines and vaccine-preventable diseases (VPDs), respectively. Respondents aged 18-39 were 2.8 times more likely to disagree that they had enough information about VPDs compared to respondents aged 60-79 (p < 0.001), while respondents with poorer self-perceived health were 1.8 times more likely to declare not having enough information about vaccines (p < 0.001). We generated three-factor dimensions from the eight statements. They were related to 'Confidence and attitudes towards vaccines', 'Access to information on vaccines and VPDs', and 'Debate on vaccine issues', which may reflect the underlying thinking patterns. Access to and understanding of information about vaccines and VPDs need to be improved for Finnish adults to increase vaccine acceptance and uptake, thus preventing the spread of VPDs.
Introduction: Caused by the tick-borne encephalitis virus (TBEV), tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) is a zoonotic disease that can cause severe neurological symptoms. Despite the availability of a vaccine, it remains a public health concern in Europe, with an increasing number of reported human cases and new hotspots of virus circulation, also in previously non-endemic areas. To geolocate and predict new areas at risk of human TBE infections, we developed a spatio-temporal predictive model to infer the year-to-year probability of human TBE occurrence across Europe at the regional and municipal administrative levels. Methods: We derived the distribution of human TBE cases at the regional (NUTS-3) level during the period 2017-2022 using data provided by the European surveillance system (TESSy, ECDC), while the distribution of human TBE cases at the municipal level during the same years was obtained using data from five European countries (Austria, Finland, Italy, Lithuania, and Slovakia). We modelled the probability of TBE occurrence at regional and municipal levels for the period 2017-2024 using a boosted regression trees approach, including both hazard and exposure variables affecting TBE risk: climate, land cover, presence of tick hosts to account for the natural hazard of virus circulation, forest road density and human population density as proxies for the probability of human exposure to tick bites. Results: Our modelling framework provides a multi-scale approach to predict yearly variations in the risk of occurrence of human TBE cases in Europe. Our results highlight a significant rising trend in the probability of human infection with TBE not only in north-western, but also in south-western European countries and show that areas at high risk of TBE are characterized by the presence of key tick host species, intense human recreational activity in forests, steep drops in late summer temperatures and high annual precipitation. Discussion: Our study provides a modelling framework for the early annual assessment and identification of European regions and municipalities at risk of human TBE infection, based on covariates reflecting both the hazard and exposure dimensions. Being based on lagged covariates, our approach can also be used to predict risk areas one year in advance, thus supporting surveillance, prevention, and control of human TBE infections by public health authorities. ### Competing Interest Statement The authors have declared no competing interest.
Background: The natural transmission cycle of tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) virus is enhanced by complex interactions between ticks and key hosts strongly connected to habitat characteristics. The diversity of wildlife host species and their relative abundance is known to affect transmission of tick-borne diseases. Therefore, in the current context of global biodiversity loss, we explored the relationship between habitat richness and the pattern of human TBE cases in Europe to assess biodiversity's role in disease risk mitigation. Methods: We assessed human TBE case distribution across 879 European regions using official epidemiological data reported to The European Surveillance System (TESSy) between 2017 and 2021 from 15 countries. We explored the relationship between TBE presence and the habitat richness index (HRI1) by means of binomial regression. We validated our findings at local scale using data collected between 2017 and 2021 in 227 municipalities located in Trento and Belluno provinces, two known TBE foci in northern Italy. Findings: Our results showed a significant parabolic effect of HRI on the probability of presence of human TBE cases in the European regions included in our dataset, and a significant, negative effect of HRI on the local presence of TBE in northern Italy. At both spatial scales, TBE risk decreases in areas with higher values of HRI. Interpretation: To our knowledge, no efforts have yet been made to explore the relationship between biodiversity and TBE risk, probably due to the scarcity of high-resolution, large-scale data about the abundance or density of critical host species. Hence, in this study we considered habitat richness as proxy for vertebrate host diversity. The results suggest that in highly diverse habitats TBE risk decreases. Hence, biodiversity loss could enhance TBE risk for both humans and wildlife. This association is relevant to support the hypothesis that the maintenance of highly diverse ecosystems mitigates disease risk.
Ticks are amongst the most important zoonotic disease vectors affecting human and animal health worldwide. Tick-borne diseases (TBDs) are rapidly expanding geographically and in incidence, most notably in temperate regions of Europe where ticks are considered the principal zoonotic vector of Public Health relevance, as well as a major health and economic preoccupation in agriculture and equine industries. Tick-borne pathogen (TBP) transmission is contingent on complex, interlinked vector-pathogen-host dynamics, environmental and ecological conditions and human behavior. Tackling TBD therefore requires a better understanding of the interconnected social and ecological variables (i.e., the social-ecological system) that favor disease (re)-emergence. The One Health paradigm recognizes the interdependence of human, animal and environmental health and proposes an integrated approach to manage TBD. However, One Health interventions are limited by significant gaps in our understanding of the complex, systemic nature of TBD risk, in addition to a lack of effective, universally accepted and environmentally conscious tick control measures. Today individual prevention gestures are the most effective strategy to manage TBDs in humans and animals, making local communities important actors in TBD detection, prevention and management. Yet, how they engage and collaborate within a multi-actor TBD network has not yet been explored. Here, we argue that transdisciplinary collaborations that go beyond research, political and medical stakeholders, and extend to local community actors can aid in identifying relevant social-ecological risk indicators key for informing multi-level TBD detection, prevention and management measures. This article proposes a transdisciplinary social-ecological systems framework, based on participatory research approaches, to better understand the necessary conditions for local actor engagement to improve TBD risk. We conclude with perspectives for implementing this methodological framework in a case study in the south of France (Occitanie region), where multi-actor collaborations are mobilized to stimulate multi-actor collective action and identify relevant social-ecological indicators of TBD risk.
BackgroundTick-borne encephalitis (TBE) is a disease which can lead to severe neurological symptoms, caused by the TBE virus (TBEV). The natural transmission cycle occurs in foci and involves ticks as vectors and several key hosts that act as reservoirs and amplifiers of the infection spread. Recently, the incidence of TBE in Europe has been rising in both endemic and new regions.AimIn this study we want to provide comprehensive understanding of the main ecological and environmental factors that affect TBE spread across Europe.MethodsWe searched available literature on covariates linked with the circulation of TBEV in Europe. We then assessed the best predictors for TBE incidence in 11 European countries by means of statistical regression, using data on human infections provided by the European Surveillance System (TESSy), averaged between 2017 and 2021.ResultsWe retrieved data from 62 full-text articles and identified 31 different covariates associated with TBE occurrence. Finally, we selected eight variables from the best model, including factors linked to vegetation cover, climate, and the presence of tick hosts.DiscussionThe existing literature is heterogeneous, both in study design and covariate types. Here, we summarised and statistically validated the covariates affecting the variability of TBEV across Europe. The analysis of the factors enhancing disease emergence is a fundamental step towards the identification of potential hotspots of viral circulation. Hence, our results can support modelling efforts to estimate the risk of TBEV infections and help decision-makers implement surveillance and prevention campaigns.
We present the findings from the European Programme for Intervention Epidemiology Training (EPIET) Alumni Network (EAN) Member Survey conducted in October to December 2021. The EAN consists of field epi-demiologists (EPIET) and public health microbiolo-gists (European Public Health Microbiology Training Programme (EUPHEM)) who stay connected after their 2-year fellowship. This active alumni network provides opportunities for career development, mentorship, knowledge exchange and sharing of best practices for community members, affiliated professionals and public health organisations in Europe. Overall, 281 of 732 members participated in the survey. Of the 192 European fellowship alumni respondents, 173 (90%) indicated that skills and competencies acquired dur-ing their fellowship improved performance in their role compared with their abilities before the fellow-ship. Reported skills and competencies that could be further strengthened included data management/ analysis, communication, mathematical modelling and leadership/team management. The EAN Member Survey provides valuable feedback to the EAN, as well as the fellowship programme offices at the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) and affiliated field epidemiology programmes. The COVID-19 pandemic was a stark reminder of how essen-tial cross-border collaborations are for continued European health security. Maintaining and increasing the professional, well-trained workforce remains cru-cial for optimal response to infectious diseases and protection of public health.
The COVID-19 pandemic has shown the need for better global governance of pandemic prevention, preparedness, and response (PPR) and has emphasised the importance of organised knowledge production and uptake. In this Health Policy, we assess the potential values and risks of establishing an Intergovernmental Panel for One Health (IPOH). Similar to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, an IPOH would facilitate knowledge uptake in policy making via a multisectoral approach, and hence support the addressing of infectious disease emergence and re-emergence at the human-animal-environment interface. The potential benefits to pandemic PPR include a clear, unified, and authoritative voice from the scientific community, support to help donors and institutions to prioritise their investments, evidence-based policies for implementation, and guidance on defragmenting the global health system. Potential risks include a scope not encompassing all pandemic origins, unclear efficacy in fostering knowledge uptake by policy makers, potentially inadequate speed in facilitating response efforts, and coordination challenges among an already dense set of stakeholders. We recommend weighing these factors when designing institutional reforms for a more effective global health system.
OBJECTIVES:The Puumala virus (PUUV) is a hantavirus that causes hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome. Studies showing an increased risk of lymphoid malignancies after hantavirus infection, together with the observation that PUUV infects B cells, motivated us to study the risk of lymphoid malignancies after PUUV infection.METHODS:We linked data from the Finnish Cancer Registry and National Infectious Diseases Register for 2009-2019. We used a time-dependent Cox regression model to evaluate the hazard of the lymphoid malignancies grouped according to the HAEMACARE classification.RESULTS:We identified 68 cases of lymphoid malignancies after PUUV infection among 16,075 PUUV-infected individuals during 61,114,826 person-years of observation. A total of 10 cases occurred within 3-<12 months and 38 within 1-<5 years after PUUV infection, and the risk of lymphoid malignancies increased with hazard ratios (HRs) of 2.0 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1-3.7) and 1.6 (95% CI, 1.2-2.3), respectively. The group of mature B cell neoplasms showed an increased risk 3-<12 months and 1-<5 years after PUUV infection, HR 2.2 (95% CI, 1.2-4.3) and HR 1.8 (95% CI, 1.3-2.5), respectively.CONCLUSION:PUUV infection is associated with lymphoid malignancies in the Finnish population, supporting the earlier studies. Further research is required to understand the pathophysiological mechanisms behind this association.
Epidemic Intelligence (EI) encompasses all activities related to early identification, verification, analysis, assessment, and investigation of health threats. It integrates an indicator-based (IBS) component using systematically collected surveillance data, and an event-based component (EBS), using non-official, non-verified, non-structured data from multiple sources. We described current EI practices in Europe by conducting a survey of national Public Health (PH) and Animal Health (AH) agencies. We included generic questions on the structure, mandate and scope of the institute, on the existence and coordination of EI activities, followed by a section where respondents provided a description of EI activities for three diseases out of seven disease models. Out of 81 gatekeeper agencies from 41 countries contacted, 34 agencies (42%) from 26 (63%) different countries responded, out of which, 32 conducted EI activities. Less than half (15/32; 47%) had teams dedicated to EI activities and 56% (18/34) had Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs) in place. On a national level, a combination of IBS and EBS was the most common data source. Most respondents monitored the epidemiological situation in bordering countries, the rest of Europe and the world. EI systems were heterogeneous across countries and diseases. National IBS activities strongly relied on mandatory laboratory-based surveillance systems. The collection, analysis and interpretation of IBS information was performed manually for most disease models. Depending on the disease, some respondents did not have any EBS activity. Most respondents conducted signal assessment manually through expert review. Cross-sectoral collaboration was heterogeneous. More than half of the responding institutes collaborated on various levels (data sharing, communication, etc.) with neighbouring countries and/or international structures, across most disease models. Our findings emphasise a notable engagement in EI activities across PH and AH institutes of Europe, but opportunities exist for better integration, standardisation, and automatization of these efforts. A strong reliance on traditional IBS and laboratory-based surveillance systems, emphasises the key role of in-country laboratories networks. EI activities may benefit particularly from investments in cross-border collaboration, the development of methods that can automatise signal assessment in both IBS and EBS data, as well as further investments in the collection of EBS data beyond scientific literature and mainstream media.
During the pandemic outdoor activities were encouraged to mitigate transmission risk while providing safe spaces for social interactions. Human behaviour, which may favour or disfavour, contact rates between questing ticks and humans, is a key factor impacting tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) incidence. We analyzed annual and weekly TBE cases in Finland, Norway and Sweden from 2010 to 2021 to assess trend, seasonality, and discuss changes in human tick exposure imposed by COVID-19. We compared the pre-pandemic incidence (2010-2019) with the pandemic incidence (2020-2021) by fitting a generalized linear model (GLM) to incidence data. Pre-pandemic incidence was 1.0, 0.29 and 2.8 for Finland, Norway and Sweden, respectively, compared to incidence of 2.2, 1.0 and 3.9 during the pandemic years. However, there was an increasing trend for all countries across the whole study period. Therefore, we predicted the number of cases in 2020/2021 based on a model fitted to the annual cases in 2010-2019. The incidences during the pandemic were 1.3 times higher for Finland, 1.7 times higher for Norway and no difference for Sweden. When social restrictions were enforced to curb the spread of SARS-CoV-2 there were profound changes in outdoor recreational behavior. Future consideration of public health interventions that promote outdoor activities may increase exposure to vector-borne diseases.
Sindbis virus (SINV) caused a large outbreak in Finland in 2021 with 566 laboratory-confirmed human cases and a notable geographical expansion. Compared with the last large outbreak in 2002, incidence was higher in several hospital districts but lower in traditionally endemic locations in eastern parts of the country. A high incidence is also expected in 2022. Awareness of SINV should be raised in Finland to increase recognition of the disease and prevent transmission through the promotion of control measures.
Background Household transmission studies offer the opportunity to assess both secondary attack rate (SAR) and persistence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies over time. Methods In Spring 2020, we invited confirmed COVID-19 cases and their household members to four visits, where we collected nasopharyngeal and serum samples over 28 days after index case onset. We calculated SAR based on the presence of SARS-CoV-2 neutralizing antibodies (NAb) and assessed the persistence of NAb and IgG antibodies (Ab) against SARS-CoV-2 spike glycoprotein and nucleoprotein. Results SAR was 45% (39/87), including 35 symptomatic secondary cases. During the initial 28-day follow-up, 62% (80/129) of participants developed NAb. Of those that seroconverted, 90% (63/70), 85% (63/74), and 78% (45/58) still had NAb to early B-lineage SARS-CoV-2 3, 6, and 12 months after the onset of the index case. Anti-spike IgG Ab persisted in 100% (69/69), 97% (72/74), and 93% (55/59) of seroconverted participants after 3, 6, and 12 months, while anti-nucleoprotein IgG Ab levels waned faster, persisting in 99% (68/69), 78% (58/74), and 55% (39/71) of participants, respectively. Conclusion Following detection of a COVID-19 case in a household, other members had a high risk of becoming infected. NAb to early B-lineage SARS-CoV-2 persisted for at least a year in most cases.