Table S-2 displays cumulative risk of death from other causes (competing risk to CRC mortality estimates#), stratified by patient characteristics at index date.

The National Health Service-Galleri randomized trial seeks to determine the extent to which a blood-based multi-cancer screening test can lead to a reduced incidence of a variety of cancers that are at a late stage as of the time of initial diagnosis. In February 2026, the investigators of this trial issued a news release indicating that after several years of follow-up, for a group of 12 pre-specified forms of cancer there was a lower incidence of stage IV cancer among patients in the intervention arm of the trial than in the control arm. The release stated that a group of participants whose stage IV cancer could not have been influenced by the screening – those with stage IV disease already present as of the initial screening exam – had been excluded from this analysis. We argue that while it is appropriate to restrict such an analysis to persons without prevalent stage IV cancer at the start of the trial, a valid result will be obtained only after accounting for the counterparts of these cases that are present in the trial’s control arm. We describe how this can be accomplished, and the assumptions needed for such a strategy to succeed.

This paper describes the rationale and radiology considerations in the implementation of the Preventing Liver Cancer Mortality through Imaging with Ultrasound versus MRI (PREMIUM) study. PREMIUM is a multicenter, randomized controlled trial sponsored by the Department of Veterans Affairs comparing dynamic contrast-enhanced (DCE) abbreviated MRI (aMRI) plus serum AFP versus ultrasound (US) plus serum AFP for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) screening in patients with cirrhosis. PREMIUM aims to randomize 4,700 participants across over 47 Veterans Affairs Medical Centers to semiannual surveillance for up to eight years, with HCC-related mortality as the primary endpoint. To date, 35 sites have been activated with 1,085 patients randomized. To ensure uniform implementation and reporting of per-protocol screening, the PREMIUM Radiology Workgroup developed standardized imaging protocols, structured LI-RADS–based reporting templates, and a centralized training program for radiologists and technologists. They also perform ongoing quality control on both scans and reports. The aMRI protocols utilize multiphasic post-contrast imaging to allow LI-RADS scoring. A non-contrast-enhanced aMRI protocol is available for participants who develop renal impairment or contrast allergy during the study. US protocols conform to US LI-RADS standards. Structured reporting promotes consistency in documentation of findings, visualization scores, and follow-up recommendations. A centralized Image Repository was established, incorporating advanced de-identification methods to remove metadata and pixel-embedded protected health information from imaging files. More than 20,000 curated liver MRI and US exams are anticipated, supporting both trial outcomes and future radiomics and artificial intelligence research. PREMIUM aims to determine whether screening for HCC with a DCE aMRI protocol reduces HCC-related mortality and also facilitates ancillary studies utilizing the Image Repository.

Table S-1 shows characteristics of screen-eligible patients aged 76-85 years at index date, stratified by healthcare system.

Figure S-1 illustrates selection of eligible study population from PRECISE cohort.

Abstract Background Biologic (b) and targeted synthetic (ts) disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (DMARDs) used in the management of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) target inflammatory pathways implicated in the pathogenesis of multiple myeloma (MM). It is unknown whether use of b/tsDMARDs affects the incidence of MM. Methods In this cohort study using Veterans Health Administration (VHA) data, we identified Veterans newly diagnosed with RA from 1/1/2002 to 12/31/2018 using diagnostic codes and medication fills. DMARD exposure was categorized as follows: conventional synthetic (cs)DMARDs; bDMARDs, which included tumor necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi), non-TNFi; and a tsDMARD, tofacitinib. A Cox proportional hazards model with time-varying exposure was used to estimate the hazard ratio for developing MM among those who received b/tsDMARD medications relative to b/tsDMARD-naïve persons. Results 27,540 veterans with RA met eligibility criteria of whom 8322 (30%) took a b/tsDMARD during follow-up. There were 77 incident cases of MM over 192,000 person-years of follow-up. The age-adjusted incidence rate (IR) of MM among b/tsDMARD-naïve patients was 0.37 (95% CI 0.28–0.49) per 1000 person-years and 0.42 among current or former b/tsDMARD users (95% CI 0.25–0.65). Adjusting for age and other demographic characteristics, the hazard ratio for MM associated with use of b/tsDMARDs was 1.32 (95% CI 0.78, 2.26). Conclusion In this study of Veterans with RA, the rate of MM did not differ between b/tsDMARD and csDMARD users. The relatively short duration of follow-up and few events limited our power to detect treatment-related differences in MM risk.

Importance Organized screening outreach can reduce differences in colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence and mortality between demographic subgroups. Outcomes associated with additional outreach, beyond universal outreach, are not well known. Objective To compare CRC screening completion by race and ethnicity, age, and sex after universal automated outreach and additional personalized outreach. Design, Setting, and Participants This observational cohort study included screening-eligible individuals aged 50 to 75 years assessed during 2019 in a community-based organized CRC screening program within the Kaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC) integrated health care delivery setting. For KPNC members who are not up to date with screening by colonoscopy, each year the program first uses automated outreach (mailed prescreening notification postcards and fecal immunochemical test [FIT] kits, automated telephone calls, and postcard reminders), followed by personalized components for nonresponders (telephone calls, electronic messaging, and screening offers during office visits). Data analyses were performed between November 2021 and February 2023 and completed on February 5, 2023. Exposures Completed CRC screening via colonoscopy, sigmoidoscopy, or FIT. Main Outcomes and Measures The primary outcome was the proportion of participants completing an FIT or colonoscopy after each component of the screening process. Differences across subgroups were assessed using the chi(2) test. Results This study included 1 046 745 KPNC members. Their mean (SD) age was 61.1 (6.9) years, and more than half (53.2%) were women. A total of 0.4% of members were American Indian or Alaska Native, 18.5% were Asian, 7.2% were Black, 16.2% were Hispanic, 0.8% were Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander, and 56.5% were White. Automated outreach significantly increased screening participation by 31.1%, 38.1%, 29.5%, 31.9%, 31.8%, and 34.5% among these groups, respectively; follow-up personalized outreach further significantly increased participation by absolute additional increases of 12.5%, 12.4%, 13.3%, 14.4%, 14.7%, and 11.2%, respectively (all differences P < .05 compared with White members). Overall screening coverage at the end of the yearly program differed significantly among members who were American Indian or Alaska Native (74.1%), Asian (83.5%), Black (77.7%), Hispanic (76.4%), or Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander (74.4%) compared with White members (82.2%) (all differences P < .05 compared with White members). Screening completion was similar by sex; older members were substantially more likely to be up to date with CRC screening both before and at the end of the screening process. Conclusions and Relevance In this cohort study of a CRC screening program, sequential automated and personalized strategies each contributed to substantial increases in screening completion in all demographic groups. These findings suggest that such programs may potentially reduce differences in CRC screening completion across demographic groups.

ObjectiveIdentification of characteristics associated with active disease in juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) could inform early disease treatment strategies. This study evaluated characteristics associated with active disease at 12 and 24 months after JIA diagnosis in the era in which biologic disease‐modifying antirheumatic drugs (DMARDs) became available for JIA.MethodsThis single‐center retrospective study from 2004 through 2018 assessed characteristics associated with active nonsystemic categories of JIA at 12 and 24 months after diagnosis. Relative prevalence (RP) of disease activity was evaluated in relation to prespecified characteristics. Using RP, the effect of increasing biologic DMARD availability on these predictors was assessed at 12 months.ResultsA total of 1,151 patients with JIA were included. At 12 months, a 40% to 45% higher point prevalence of active disease was noted in older children (>5 years). Patients with active disease at 3 months had a greater prevalence of active disease at 12 months (RP 1.5, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.2–1.8) and 24 months (RP 1.3, 95% CI 1–1.6). Compared to oligoarticular JIA, polyarticular RF‐negative, psoriatic, and enthesitis‐related JIA had a greater prevalence of active disease at 12 and 24 months. At 24 months, a greater prevalence of active disease was observed in children ≥10 years. RP of active disease was 25% lower in the late cohort (2013–2018) than in the earliest cohort (2004–2008; RP 0.75, 95% CI 0.62–0.92) when more biologic medications were available, but disease activity predictors were broadly similar over time.ConclusionPatients with JIA with active disease at 12 and 24 months were older at diagnosis, categorized as polyarticular RF‐negative, psoriatic, or enthesitis‐related JIA. Active disease at 3 months after diagnosis was associated with worse outcomes at 12 and 24 months.

IMPORTANCE The fecal immunochemical test (FIT) is widely used for colorectal cancer (CRC) screening, but evidence of its effectiveness is limited. OBJECTIVE To evaluate whether FIT screening is associated with a lower risk of dying from CRC overall, according to cancer location, and within demographic groups. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS This nested case-control study in a cohort of screening-eligible people was conducted in 2 large, integrated health systems of racially, ethnically, and socioeconomically diverse members with long-term programs of mailed FIT screening outreach. Eligible participants included people aged 52 to 85 years who died from colorectal adenocarcinoma between 2011 and 2017 (cases); cases were matched in a 1:8 ratio based on age, sex, health-plan membership duration, and geographic area to randomly selected persons who were alive and CRC-free on case's diagnosis date (controls). Data analysis was conducted from January 2002 to December 2017. EXPOSURES Completing 1 or more FIT screenings in the 5-year period prior to the CRC diagnosis date among cases or the corresponding date among controls; in secondary analyses, 2- to 10-year intervals were evaluated. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES The primary study outcome was CRC death overall and by tumor location. Secondary analyses were performed to assess CRC death by race and ethnicity. RESULTS From a cohort of 2 127 128 people, a total of 10 711 participants (3529 aged 60-69 years [32.9%]; 5587 male [52.1%] and 5124 female [47.8%]; 1254 non-Hispanic Asian [11.7%]; 973 non-Hispanic Black [9.1%]; 1929 Hispanic or Latino [18.0%]; 6345 non-Hispanic White [59.2%]) was identified, including 1103 cases and 9608 controls. Among controls during the 10-year period prior to the reference date, 6101 (63.5%) completed 1 or more FITs with a cumulative 12.6% positivity rate (768 controls), of whom 610 (79.4%) had a colonoscopy within 1 year. During the 5-year period, 494 cases (44.8%) and 5345 controls (55.6%) completed 1 or more FITs. In regression analysis, completing 1 or more FIT screening was associated with a 33% lower risk of death from CRC (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.67; 95% CI, 0.59-0.76) and 42% lower risk in the left colon and rectum (aOR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.48-0.71). There was no association with right colon cancers (aOR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.69-1.01) but the difference in the estimates between the right colon and left colon or rectum was statistically significant (P = .01). FIT screening was associated with lower CRC mortality risk among non-Hispanic Asian (aOR, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.23-0.59), non-Hispanic Black (aOR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.39-0.85) and non-Hispanic White individuals (aOR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.57-0.86) (P for homogeneity = .04 for homogeneity). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE In this nested case-control study, completing FIT was associated with a lower risk of overall death from CRC, particularly in the left colon, and the associations were observed across racial and ethnic groups. These findings support the use of FIT in population-based screening strategies.

Randomized trials of the efficacy of multi-cancer early detection, by means of measurement of cell-free DNA and/or protein biomarkers in peripheral blood specimens, will attempt to document a difference in cancer mortality between persons assigned to intervention and control arms. Their ability to do so is limited by the relatively low rate of death from individual forms of cancer, the relatively low sensitivity of the tests currently being used, and the use of other cancer screening modalities among trial participants. However, if those same blood specimens also could be obtained from control arm participants in a given trial and then tested for the same markers, with results not known (or not made available) until the conclusion of follow-up for cancer mortality, it would be possible to compare mortality from given forms of cancer between test-positive individuals whose results were known and not known during the course of the trial. Such an analysis addresses the impact of a stimulus to offer targeted diagnostic testing, potentially leading to early treatment, against cancer mortality. Among persons who screen as positive, it should provide a relatively more sensitive means of gauging a possible mortality benefit resulting from multi-cancer screening.

Rationale: Understanding contributors to costly and potentially burdensome care for patients with dementia is of interest to healthcare systems and may facilitate efforts to promote goal-concordant care. Objective: To identify risk factors, in particular whether an early goals-of-care discussion (GOCD) took place, for high-cost hospitalization among patients with dementia and acute respiratory failure. Methods: We conducted an electronic health record-based retrospective cohort study of 298 adults with dementia hospitalized with respiratory failure (receiving ⩾48 h of mechanical ventilation) within an academic healthcare system. We collected demographic and clinical characteristics, including clinical markers of advanced dementia (weight loss, pressure ulcers, hypernatremia, mobility limitations) and intensive care unit (ICU) service (medical, surgical, neurologic). We ascertained whether a GOCD was documented within 48 hours of ICU admission. We used logistic regression to identify patient characteristics associated with high-cost hospitalization measured using the hospital system accounting database and defined as total cost in the top third of the sample (⩾$145,000). We examined a path model that included hospital length of stay as a final mediator between exposure variables and high-cost hospitalization. Results: Patients in the sample had a median age of 71 (IQR, 62-79) years. Approximately half (49%) were admitted to a medical ICU, 29% to a surgical ICU, and 22% to a neurologic ICU. More than half (59%) had a clinical indicator of advanced dementia. A minority (31%) had a GOCD documented within 48 hours of ICU admission; those who did had a 50% lower risk of a high-cost hospitalization (risk ratio, 0.50; 95% confidence interval, 0.2-0.8). Older age, limited English proficiency, and nursing home residence were associated with a lower likelihood of high-cost hospitalization, whereas greater comorbidity burden and admission to a surgical or neurologic ICU compared with a medical ICU were associated with a higher likelihood of high-cost hospitalization. Conclusions: Early GOCDs for patients with dementia and respiratory failure may promote high-value care by ensuring aggressive and costly life support interventions are aligned with patients' goals. Future work should focus on increasing early palliative care delivery for patients with dementia and respiratory failure, in particular in surgical and neurologic ICU settings.

Objective To determine whether method of maxillary advancement in adolescents with cleft palate with or without cleft lip (CP +/- L) influences post-operative velopharyngeal function. Design Retrospective cohort. Setting Pediatric Tertiary Care Hospital. Participants One hundred and ninety-nine patients with CP +/- L after LeFort I osteotomy for maxillary advancement at our institution between January 2007 and June 2019. Interventions LeFort I osteotomy via distraction osteogenesis (DO) or conventional osteotomy (CO). Main Outcome Measures Patients who underwent DO or CO were compared for the presence of new velopharyngeal insufficiency (VPI), as measured by perceptual rating by a craniofacial speech-language pathologist. Results Of the 199 patients who underwent maxillary advancement, 126 were available for analysis. The DO group was younger, male, and had more severe maxillary hypoplasia. Following surgery, 17/41 (41.5%) of the DO group had new VPI, compared to just 23/85 (27.1%) of the CO group. After adjusting for cleft type and predicted maxillary advancement, however, there was not sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis of no difference in risk of post-operative VPI between the two surgical groups (prevalence ratio [PR] 1.40, 95% CI 0.68-2.90). Increased prevalence of VPI after DO versus CO was primarily observed among patients with a pre-operative velopharyngeal need ratio < 0.8 (PR = 2.01, 95% CI 0.79-5.10) and patients with normal velopharyngeal function pre-operatively (PR = 2.86, 95% CI 0.96-8.50). Conclusion Our results suggest an increased rather than decreased risk of VPI following DO relative to CO. This association is primarily seen among those with a smaller velopharyngeal ratio or perceptually normal velopharyngeal function pre-operatively.

PURPOSE To evaluate the effectiveness of endoscopic screening against incidence of and mortality from esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). METHODS From January 2012 to September 2016, we conducted a community-based cluster randomized controlled trial involving permanent residents age 45-69 years in a high-risk region for ESCC in northern China. A total of 668 targeted villages were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to the screening group (offered Lugol's chromoendoscopy) or control group (no screening). Intention-to-treat and per-protocol analyses were performed to compare esophageal cancer (EC) incidence and mortality between the two groups. The per-protocol analysis adjusted for nonadherence to the screening procedure. RESULTS A total of 33,847 participants were included in the analysis: 17,104 in the screening group, 15,165 (88.7%) of whom underwent screening, and 16,743 in the control group. During a maximum follow-up of 9 years, EC incidence in the screening and control groups were 60.9 and 72.5 per 100,000 person-years, respectively; mortality in the screening and control groups were 29.7 and 32.4 per 100,000 person-years, respectively. Compared with the control group, the incidence and mortality of the screening group reduced by 19% (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.81 [95% CI, 0.60 to 1.09]) and 18% (aHR, 0.82 [95% CI, 0.53 to 1.26]), respectively, in the intention-to-treat analysis; and by 22% (aHR, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.56 to 1.10]) and 21% (aHR, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.49 to 1.30]), respectively, in the per-protocol analysis. CONCLUSION With a 9-year follow-up, our trial suggests that chromoendoscopic screening induces modest reductions in EC incidence and mortality. A more efficient strategy for EC screening and subsequent patient management should be established to guarantee the effectiveness of endoscopic screening.

Study population inclusion/exclusion flow chart

Multicancer early detection tests are precipitating a reexamination of potential short-term endpoints for cancer screening trials. A reduction in advanced stage incidence is a prime candidate, and stage-shift models that substitute early-stage for late-stage survival have been used to predict mortality reduction due to screening. However, standard stage-shift models often ignore prognostic subtypes, effectively implying that cancers detected early also have an associated subtype shift. To illustrate the differences between mortality predictions from stage-shift models that ignore versus preserve prognostic subtype, we use ovarian cancer partitioned by histologic subtype and prostate cancer partitioned by grade. We infer general conditions under which stage- shift models that preserve prognostic subtype are likely to predict mortality reductions that differ from those that ignore subtype and examine the implications for short-term endpoints based on stage in cancer screening trials.