Explainable AI (XAI) techniques aim to provide insights into predictive models and enhance user performance, yet they often fall short of these expectations. Conversational XAI assistants promise to overcome such limitations, but empirical evidence on their impact on objective performance measures remains limited. We propose an experimental design for evaluating explanation assistance through prediction accuracy, model understanding, and error identification. Using an explainable-by-design prediction model, we create conditions where users can outperform the model by identifying and compensating for systematic errors. We compare conversational assistance against Q A-based assistance to assess which better supports users in working with model explanations. Preliminary results from testing our experimental design show that participants (N=42) in both treatments significantly outperformed the model but reveal no performance differences between assistance types and modest engagement overall. These findings inform refinements for our planned full study, including enhanced engagement interventions and investigation of the mechanisms driving improved predictions.
Understanding the decisions made and actions taken by increasingly complex AI system remains a key challenge. This has led to an expanding field of research in explainable artificial intelligence (XAI), highlighting the potential of explanations to enhance trust, support adoption, and meet regulatory standards. However, the question of what constitutes a "good" explanation is dependent on the goals, stakeholders, and context. At a high level, psychological insights such as the concept of mental model alignment can offer guidance, but success in practice is challenging due to social and technical factors. As a result of this ill-defined nature of the problem, explanations can be of poor quality (e.g. unfaithful, irrelevant, or incoherent), potentially leading to substantial risks. Instead of fostering trust and safety, poorly designed explanations can actually cause harm, including wrong decisions, privacy violations, manipulation, and even reduced AI adoption. Therefore, we caution stakeholders to beware of explanations of AI: while they can be vital, they are not automatically a remedy for transparency or responsible AI adoption, and their misuse or limitations can exacerbate harm. Attention to these caveats can help guide future research to improve the quality and impact of AI explanations.
This study explores the prevalence of hate speech (HS) and sentiment in YouTube video comments concerning the Israel-Palestine conflict by analyzing content from both public and private news sources. The research involved annotating 4983 comments for HS and sentiments (neutral, pro-Israel, and pro-Palestine). Subsequently, machine learning (ML) models were developed, demonstrating robust predictive capabilities with area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) scores ranging from 0.83 to 0.90. These models were applied to the extracted comment sections of YouTube videos from public and private sources, uncovering a higher incidence of HS in public sources (40.4%) compared to private sources (31.6%). Sentiment analysis revealed a predominantly neutral stance in both source types, with more pronounced sentiments towards Israel and Palestine observed in public sources. This investigation highlights the dynamic nature of online discourse surrounding the Israel-Palestine conflict and underscores the potential of moderating content in a politically charged environment.
The application of machine learning (ML) models in healthcare management offers high potential. In particular, resource allocation and operational decision-making in intensive care units (ICUs) can benefit from ML predictions, leading to improvements in patient outcomes and operational efficiency. However, the generalizability of these models across diverse hospital settings with potentially different patient populations remains a critical challenge. This study examines the generalizability of ML-based ICU outcome prediction models built using external data. We utilize data from two sources: a European University Hospital (EUH) dataset from Universitätsklinikum Carl Gustav Carus Dresden, Germany and the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC)-IV database, representing different healthcare systems and patient populations. Our approach evaluates multiple models of varying architectures and complexity across three common prediction tasks in ICU settings (mortality, length of stay, and readmission), analyzes the impact of data availability on model performance, and applies interpretability techniques to identify features and scenarios where models succeed or fail in new environments. We found that locally trained models generally outperform those using external data when sufficient local data is available. Low and medium complexity models, such as generalized additive models, demonstrate significantly superior generalizability compared to high complexity models and require substantially less local data for high-quality predictions, offering evidence-based guidance for healthcare managers dealing with limited data resources. Our results demonstrate how interpretability techniques can identify dataset differences that hinder generalizability, providing valuable insights for healthcare practitioners in implementing ML solutions across diverse hospitals. This research contributes to the development of more generalizable and interpretable ML models in healthcare.
Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems are frequently employed in online services to provide personalized experiences to users based on large collections of data. However, AI systems can be designed in different ways, with black-box AI systems appearing as complex data-processing engines and white-box AI systems appearing as fully transparent data-processors. As such, it is reasonable to assume that these different design choices also affect user perception and thus their willingness to share data. To this end, we conducted a pre-registered, scenario-based online experiment with 240 participants and investigated how transparent and non-transparent data-processing entities influenced data-sharing intentions. Surprisingly, our results revealed no significant difference in willingness to share data across entities, challenging the notion that transparency increases data-sharing willingness. Furthermore, we found that a general attitude of trust towards AI has a significant positive influence, especially in the transparent AI condition, whereas privacy concerns did not significantly affect data-sharing decisions.
House price valuation remains challenging due to localized market variations. Existing approaches often rely on black-box machine learning models, which lack interpretability, or simplistic methods like linear regression (LR), which fail to capture market heterogeneity. To address this, we propose a machine learning approach that applies two-stage clustering, first grouping properties based on minimal location-based features before incorporating additional features. Each cluster is then modeled using either LR or a generalized additive model (GAM), balancing predictive performance with interpretability. Constructing and evaluating our models on 43,309 German house property listings from 2023, we achieve a 36
Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) offer a balance between performance and interpretability in machine learning. The interpretability aspect of GAMs is expressed through shape plots, representing the model's decision-making process. However, the visual properties of these plots, e.g. number of kinks (number of local maxima and minima), can impact their complexity and the cognitive load imposed on the viewer, compromising interpretability. Our study, including 57 participants, investigates the relationship between the visual properties of GAM shape plots and cognitive load they induce. We quantify various visual properties of shape plots and evaluate their alignment with participants' perceived cognitive load, based on 144 plots. Our results indicate that the number of kinks metric is the most effective, explaining 86.4% of the variance in users' ratings. We develop a simple model based on number of kinks that provides a practical tool for predicting cognitive load, enabling the assessment of one aspect of GAM interpretability without direct user involvement.
The rapidly evolving labor market, driven by technological advancements and economic shifts, presents significant challenges for traditional job matching and consultation services. In response, we introduce an advanced support tool for career counselors and job seekers based on CareerBERT, a novel approach that leverages the power of unstructured textual data sources, such as resumes, to provide more accurate and comprehensive job recommendations. In contrast to previous approaches that primarily focus on job recommendations based on a fixed set of concrete job advertisements, our approach involves the creation of a corpus that combines data from the European Skills, Competences, and Occupations (ESCO) taxonomy and EURopean Employment Services (EURES) job advertisements, ensuring an up-to-date and well-defined representation of general job titles in the labor market. Our two-step evaluation approach, consisting of an application-grounded evaluation using EURES job advertisements and a human-grounded evaluation using real-world resumes and Human Resources (HR) expert feedback, provides a comprehensive assessment of CareerBERT's performance. Our experimental results demonstrate that CareerBERT outperforms both traditional and state-of-the-art embedding approaches while showing robust effectiveness in human expert evaluations. These results confirm the effectiveness of CareerBERT in supporting career consultants by generating relevant job recommendations based on resumes, ultimately enhancing the efficiency of job consultations and expanding the perspectives of job seekers. This research contributes to the field of NLP and job recommendation systems, offering valuable insights for both researchers and practitioners in the domain of career consulting and job matching.
Based on Ingwersen's cognitive model of information retrieval interaction and natural language processing, this article presents (1) design knowledge in the form of requirements, principles, and features, and (2) an artifact to instantiate the design knowledge into a novel IT artifact for COVID-19 information retrieval. We conducted several evaluation episodes, encompassing technical validations and an experiment, to investigate the artifact's performance. Our work contributes to managing information and designing artifacts to handle situations of uncertainty.
Machine learning is permeating every conceivable domain to promote data-driven decision support. The focus is often on advanced black-box models due to their assumed performance advantages, whereas interpretable models are often associated with inferior predictive qualities. More recently, however, a new generation of generalized additive models (GAMs) has been proposed that offer promising properties for capturing complex, non-linear patterns while remaining fully interpretable. To uncover the merits and limitations of these models, the study examines the predictive performance of seven different GAMs in comparison to seven commonly used machine learning models based on a collection of twenty tabular benchmark datasets. To ensure a fair and robust model comparison, an extensive hyperparameter search combined with cross-validation was performed, resulting in 68,500 model runs. In addition, this study qualitatively examines the visual output of the models to assess their level of interpretability. Based on these results, the paper dispels the misconception that only black-box models can achieve high accuracy by demonstrating that there is no strict trade-off between predictive performance and model interpretability for tabular data. Furthermore, the paper discusses the importance of GAMs as powerful interpretable models for the field of information systems and derives implications for future work from a socio-technical perspective.
The Rashomon effect describes the observation that in machine learning (ML) multiple models often achieve similar predictive performance while explaining the underlying relationships in different ways. This observation holds even for intrinsically interpretable models, such as Generalized Additive Models (GAMs), which offer users valuable insights into the model's behavior. Given the existence of multiple GAM configurations with similar predictive performance, a natural question is whether we can personalize these configurations based on users' needs for interpretability. In our study, we developed an approach to personalize models based on contextual bandits. In an online experiment with 108 users in a personalized treatment and a non-personalized control group, we found that personalization led to individualized rather than one-size-fits-all configurations. Despite these individual adjustments, the interpretability remained high across both groups, with users reporting a strong understanding of the models. Our research offers initial insights into the potential for personalizing interpretable ML.
Decision support systems (DSS) integrating artificial intelligence (AI) hold the potential to significantly enhance organizational decision-making performance and speed in areas such as prognostics in machine maintenance. A key issue for organizations aiming to leverage this potential is to select an appropriate AI-based DSS. In this paper, we develop a delegation perspective to identify decision factors and underlying AI system characteristics that affect the selection of AI-based DSS. Utilizing the analytical hierarchy process method, we derive decision weights for these characteristics and apply them to three archetypes of AI-based DSS designed for prognostics. Additionally, we explore how users' expertise levels impact their preferences for specific AI system characteristics. The results confirm that Performance is the most important decision factor, followed by Effort and Transparency. In line with these results, we find that the archetypes of prognostics systems using Direct Remaining Useful Life estimation and Similarity-based Matching best fit user preferences. Moreover, we find that novices and experts strongly prefer visual over structural explanations, while users with moderate expertise also value structural explanations to develop their skills further.
This study investigates political discourse in the German parliament, the Bundestag, by analyzing approximately 28,000 parliamentary speeches from the last five years. Two machine learning models for topic and sentiment classification were developed and trained on a manually labeled dataset. The models showed strong classification performance, achieving an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.94 for topic classification (average across topics) and 0.89 for sentiment classification. Both models were applied to assess topic trends and sentiment distributions across political parties and over time. The analysis reveals remarkable relationships between parties and their role in parliament. In particular, a change in style can be observed for parties moving from government to opposition. While ideological positions matter, governing responsibilities also shape discourse. The analysis directly addresses key questions about the evolution of topics, sentiment dynamics, and party-specific discourse strategies in the Bundestag.
Previous work has shown that allowing users to adjust a machine learning (ML) model's predictions can reduce aversion to imperfect algorithmic decisions. However, these results were obtained in situations where users had no information about the model's reasoning. Thus, it remains unclear whether interpretable ML models could further reduce algorithm aversion or even render adjustability obsolete. In this paper, we conceptually replicate a well-known study that examines the effect of adjustable predictions on algorithm aversion and extend it by introducing an interpretable ML model that visually reveals its decision logic. Through a pre-registered user study with 280 participants, we investigate how transparency interacts with adjustability in reducing aversion to algorithmic decision-making. Our results replicate the adjustability effect, showing that allowing users to modify algorithmic predictions mitigates aversion. Transparency's impact appears smaller than expected and was not significant for our sample. Furthermore, the effects of transparency and adjustability appear to be more independent than expected.
In predictive analytics domains, such as healthcare, marketing and finance, data exhibits inherent segmentation, like patient, customer and market segments. Powerful global models, like XGBoost or Catboost, offer high predictive qualities, yet ignore modeling clusters explicitly and are limited by low interpretability. Cluster-then-predict (CTP) models have been proposed to offer more actionable insights. These hybrid models first segment data and then train cluster-specific linear models, combining the capacity to model complex relationships with model transparency. Previous CTP approaches rely on decision trees for segmentation, neglecting alternative methods. This study proposes six CTP models and benchmarks them against five global models. Our results show that k-means CTP ranks fourth out of eleven models in 20 benchmark datasets. While CTP models with DTs rank fifth best, they are substantially simpler to interpret. Consequently, we establish a variety of cluster-then-predict models and call for their consideration when faced with heterogeneous datasets.
Feature selection is a critical component in predictive analytics that significantly affects the prediction accuracy and interpretability of models. Intrinsic methods for feature selection are built directly into model learning, providing a fast and attractive option for large amounts of data. Machine learning algorithms, such as penalized regression models (e.g., lasso) are the most common choice when it comes to in-built feature selection. However, they fail to capture non-linear relationships, which ultimately affects their ability to predict outcomes in intricate datasets. In this paper, we propose IGANN Sparse, a novel machine learning model from the family of generalized additive models, which promotes sparsity through a non-linear feature selection process during training. This ensures interpretability through improved model sparsity without sacrificing predictive performance. Moreover, IGANN Sparse serves as an exploratory tool for information systems researchers to unveil important non-linear relationships in domains that are characterized by complex patterns. Our ongoing research is directed at a thorough evaluation of the IGANN Sparse model, including user studies that allow to assess how well users of the model can benefit from the reduced number of features. This will allow for a deeper understanding of the interactions between linear vs. non-linear modeling, number of selected features, and predictive performance.
We propose Interpretable Generalized Additive Neural Networks (IGANN), a novel machine learning model that uses gradient boosting and tailored neural networks to obtain high predictive performance while being interpretable to humans. We derive an efficient training algorithm based on the theory of extreme learning machines, that allows reducing the training process to solving a sequence of regularized linear regressions. We analyze the algorithm theoretically, provide insights into the rate of change of so-called shape functions, and show that the computational complexity of the training process scales linearly with the number of samples in the training dataset. We implement IGANN in PyTorch, which allows the model to be trained on graphics processing units (GPUs) to speed up training. We demonstrate favorable results in a variety of numerical experiments and showcase IGANN's value in three real-world case studies for productivity prediction, credit scoring, and criminal recidivism prediction. (c) 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ )
In healthcare, especially within intensive care units (ICU), informed decision-making by medical professionals is crucial due to the complexity of medical data. Healthcare analytics seeks to support these decisions by generating accurate predictions through advanced machine learning (ML) models, such as boosted decision trees and random forests. While these models frequently exhibit accurate predictions across various medical tasks, they often lack interpretability. To address this challenge, researchers have developed interpretable ML models that balance accuracy and interpretability. In this study, we evaluate the performance gap between interpretable and black-box models in two healthcare prediction tasks, mortality and length-of-stay prediction in ICU settings. We focus specifically on the family of generalized additive models (GAMs) as powerful interpretable ML models. Our assessment uses the publicly available Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care dataset, and we analyze the models based on (i) predictive performance, (ii) the influence of compact feature sets (i.e., only few features) on predictive performance, and (iii) interpretability and consistency with medical knowledge. Our results show that interpretable models achieve competitive performance, with a minor decrease of 0.2–0.9 percentage points in area under the receiver operating characteristic relative to state-of-the-art black-box models, while preserving complete interpretability. This remains true even for parsimonious models that use only 2.2