Aimed at unattended load forecasting,in auto-operating short-term load forecasting system for Shenzhen power network the automatic closed loop operating modes of information acquisition,load forecasting and reporting the schedules to higher authorities have been implemented.The authors integrate both intelligent self-diagnosis module and self-management module with original system,implement the functions of auto-diagnosis of error in forecasting process and auto-management of operation results,and improve the unattended mode to meet the requirement of “reducing the personnel and improving benefit” in electric power industry reformation.In addition,the contents on concepts and methods of forecasting algorithm organization and reasonable prediction precision analysis are presented,and the practical operation situation of the system is summarized.

商业性城市负荷有其典型的特点,只有充分分析这些特点,才能有针对性地修正负荷预测算法,使得这些算法在预测上达到有效、准确.鉴此 ,以深圳市为代表分析了商业性城市负荷的特征及其原理,并提出有针对性的预测算法修正模式,实现了深圳市电网负荷的较高准确率预测.