Scenario Construction Of Flood Emergency Management In River Basin Based On Scene Perception

MODELING RISK MANAGEMENT FOR RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN CHINA(2011)

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摘要
In view of the prominent characteristics of complexity, uncertainty, inevitability and relief of river basin floods, this paper presents a research of "scene perception scenario construction scenario analysis" on flood emergency management in river basin by applying the related theories of scenarios, that is, perceiving the situations of key factors (rain, flooding, etc.), acquiring information from the perception and forming the possible future scenarios of flood emergency management. A case study of Huaihe River Basin is researched, in which the future scenarios of flood emergency management are described and corresponding recommendations of emergency measures are made. This method is also suitable for flood emergency management in other river basins.
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关键词
Emergency management,Flood disasters,River basin,Scenario analysis,Scene perception,Uncertainty
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