AUTOMATED SPATIAL PRECIPITATION ESTIMATOR (PrecipVal)

A new spatial precipitation estimator is under development at the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) and scheduled for implementation operationally in January 2004. The system uses rules- based GIS technology and multiple external data sources to estimate precipitation totals for any point in the continental United States. The estimated values provide an independent assessment for the quality assurance of daily and hourly in-situ precipitation data. External data sources consist of, but are not limited to, the National Weather Service (NWS) Automated Surface Observing System Network (ASOS), Climate Reference network (CRN), National Center for Environmental Predication Rapid Update Cycle (RUC) model, Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES), and Weather Surveillance Radar 1988 Doppler (WSR-88D). The Precipitation estimator module known as "PrecipVal" replaces the current interactive graphical validation processes that often require manual review of suspect data, limiting the amount of data that receives spatial inter-comparison. Higher confidence in PrecipVal is attributed to a change in methodology (using multiple external layers) and access to higher quality data for use as "ground truth." Additionally, PrecipVal is able to estimate hourly or daily precipitation values for all missing days whereas the current validation process can only generate estimated precipitation values under certain conditions. Evaluation of the new system using statistical analysis and manual verification is ongoing. The results of the tests will be shown.