Statistical Characterization of Wind Power Ramps Via Extreme Value Analysis
Power Systems, IEEE Transactions （2014）
摘要
Extreme power fluctuations in wind farms are rare but high-impact events, so proper characterization of these extreme fluctuations would assist with power systems operations planning in a power system with a high penetration of wind power. This work applies extreme value analysis methods to the statistical characterization of wind power ramps with 10-min resolution. The annual maxima series (AMS) method and peaks over threshold (POT) method are used to determine the probability of extreme wind power ramp events in a wind farm.
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关键词
fluctuations,power system planning,wind power plants,ams,pot,annual maxima series,extreme fluctuations,extreme power fluctuations,extreme value analysis,peaks over threshold,power systems operations planning,statistical characterization,wind farms,wind power ramps,extreme events,ramp events,statistical analysis,wind energy
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