A Parsimonious Quantile Regression Model to forecast day-ahead Value-at-Risk ☆
Finance Research Letters(2015)
Abstract
•We develop a simple VaR estimation method, the HAR-QREG model.•HAR-QREG performance is similar to complex models proposed in the literature.•HAR-QREG is simple to implement.•We account for the heterogeneous market hypothesis.•We capture the effects of short-term, medium-term, and long-term volatility.
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Key words
Heterogeneous investors,HAR-QREG/Quantile regression,Risk management,Value-at-risk,Volatility
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