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Experts' Earning Forecasts: Bias, Herding And Gossamer Information

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL AND APPLIED FINANCE, no. 7 (2005): 933-946

Cited: 68|Views21

Abstract

We study the statistics of earning forecasts of US, EU, UK and JP stocks during the period 1987-2004. We confirm, on this large data set, that financial analysts are on average over-optimistic and show a pronounced herding behavior. These effects are time dependent, and were particularly strong in the early 1990s and during the Internet b...More

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