Spatial analysis of macro-level bicycle crashes using the class of conditional autoregressive models.

Accident Analysis & Prevention(2018)

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摘要
•Bicycle crash frequency models were developed for census block groups in Florida.•Two specifications of conditional autoregressive models were examined within the Bayesian framework.•Census, roadway, traffic, and bicycle trip data were investigated to find their impacts on bicycle crash frequency.•Besag’s models outperformed Leroux’s models.•Bicycle trip miles and bicycle trip intensity obtained from Strava were found to have credible impact.
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关键词
Bicycle safety,Conditional autoregressive model,Besag’s model,Leroux’s model,STRAVA bicycle ridership data
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