Increase in Allergic Sensitization in Schoolchildren: Two Cohorts Compared 10 Years Apart.

BACKGROUND: Time trends of incidence of allergic sensitization are unknown and recent trends of prevalence and risk factors are lacking. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the incidence, prevalence, remission, risk factors, and time trends for allergic sensitization among schoolchildren followed from age 7 to 8 years to age 11 to 12 years. METHODS: In 2006, all children in grades 1 and 2 aged 7 to 8 years in 2 municipalities in northern Sweden were invited to a questionnaire survey and to skin prick testing to 10 common airborne allergens. The cohort was reexamined in 2010, with additional blood sampling for specific IgE. Participation rates were 90% (n=1700) at age 7 to 8 years and 85% (n=1657) at age 11 to 12 years. The results were compared with a cohort examined by identical methods 10 years earlier. RESULTS: The prevalence of positive skin prick test result to any allergen increased from 30% at age 7 to 8 years to 41% at age 11 to 12 years (P <.001). The cumulative 4-year incidence was 18%, while remission was low. Sensitization to pollen and furred animals was most common. A family history of allergy was significantly associated with incident sensitization, whereas the presence of furred animals at home was negatively associated. The prevalence at age 7 to 8 years and at age 11 to 12 years and the 4-year incidence were all significantly higher compared with the cohort examined 10 years earlier. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of allergic sensitization increased by age as a consequence of a high incidence and a low remission. The trends of increasing incidence and prevalence among schoolchildren imply future increases in the prevalence of allergic diseases. (C) 2016 American Academy of Allergy, Asthma & Immunology