Predictors of 5-year local, regional, and distant recurrent events in a population-based cohort of breast cancer patients

•We measured rates of local, region, and distant recurrence 5 years after breast cancer diagnosis.•Local, regional, and distant metastasis rates were very low in our cohort.•Surgeon volume, specialty, and practice type were not related to breast cancer recurrence.•Tumor factors such as size, grade, lymphovascular invasion, and nodal status predicted recurrence.