A hybrid approach to monthly streamflow forecasting: integrating hydrological model outputs into a Bayesian artificial neural network

Journal of Hydrology(2016)

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摘要
•A hybrid monthly streamflow forecasting approach is presented.•Simulated soil moisture from a conceptual model is incorporated into ANNs.•Uncertainty is estimated using a formal Bayesian approach.•Forecast performance is evaluated using a real Australian case study.•The hybrid model improves forecast accuracy compared to reference models.
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关键词
Monthly streamflow forecasting,Bayesian artificial neural networks,Conceptual hydrological models,Uncertainty,Hybrid modelling,South Australia
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