Assessing the relative importance of parameter and forcing uncertainty and their interactions in conceptual hydrological model simulations

Advances in Water Resources(2016)

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摘要
•Uncertainties in hydrological modelling of 31 Irish catchments were examined.•Variance was decomposed using ensembles from 1 rainfall and 3 hydrological models.•Criteria choice effected the distribution of intra-annual uncertainty decomposition.•Uncertainty due to parameters was lower in wetter catchments.•Model selection had a greater impact than criteria on uncertainty from parameters.
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关键词
Uncertainty,Hydrological modelling,Rainfall modelling,Model parameters,Performance criteria
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