Operational photovoltaics power forecasting using seasonal time series ensemble

Solar Energy(2018)

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摘要
•Seasonal time series ensembles are used for day-ahead PV power forecasting.•A total of 10 time-series/NWP models are permutated to form different component-model sets.•Eight different methods of combining component-model forecasts are compared.•Using ensemble is less risky than choosing the best individual method.
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关键词
Ensemble forecast,Forecast combination,Time series,NWP
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