Climate change impact on Mexico wheat production

Ixchel Hernandez-Ochoa,Senthold Asseng,Belay T. Kassie,Wei Xiong, Ricky Robertson,Diego Pequeno,Kai Sonder,Matthew P. Reynolds,Ali Babar,Anabel Molero Milan,Gerrit Hoogenboom

Agricultural and Forest Meteorology（2018）

引用 85|浏览18

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摘要

•Wheat yield in Mexico is projected to decline with future climate change.•Elevated CO2 yield impact will not overcome negative impacts from warming.•Rainfed wheat yields could decline by up to 32% due to changes in rainfall.•Adaptation strategies, mainly to increasing temperatures will be needed in Mexico.

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关键词

Triticum,Model ensemble,Crop simulation model,Uncertainty

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