Adapting irrigated and rainfed wheat to climate change in semi-arid environments: Management, breeding options and land use change

•Mexico’s wheat production is likely to decline under future climate change.•Expanding wheat area to recently used land for wheat may be the most effective adaptation strategy to combat production loss from future climate change.•Combining new adaptive crop genetic traits with increased N fertilizer will also improve yield for irrigated and rainfed wheat for current and future climate scenarios.