Perspective on Landfalling Frequency and Genesis Location Variations of Southern China Typhoon during Peak Summer

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS(2019)

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摘要
Increasing intense landfalling typhoons (LFTYs) are of great coastal threatens to southern China. However, changes in genesis location and landfalling frequency of western North Pacific (WNP) LFTY dedicated to southern China remain unclear. Here we identified such LFTYs during peak summer and found that most LFTYs formed south of 20 degrees N and the LFTY genesis locations over southern WNP have also experienced a sharp interdecadal shift since 1998, which are mainly attributed to the large-scale environment changes induced by the Mega-La Nina-like climate shift. However, LFTY frequency (= "landfalling frequency of southern China typhoon") shows a slight increasing trend but without significant interdecadal variation. Variations of LFTY frequency are mainly affected by the easterly steering flows near 20 degrees N over the South China Sea and the Philippine Sea, which are closely linked to the WNP subtropical high activity. Our results provide a new perspective on the LFTY activities dedicated to southern China.
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关键词
Southern China Typhoon,Genesis Location,Landfalling Frequency,Mega-ENSO,Tropical Cyclone Climate Change
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