Risk Factors Predicting Colorectal Cancer Recurrence In A Latin American Population.

JOURNAL OF CLINICAL ONCOLOGY(2019)

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摘要
e15180 Background: The incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) in Peru has increased in the last decades. In our population more than 80% of patients are stage I-III. Recurrence is one of the most important factors to consider in the survival of CRC patients. The aim of this study was to identify which factors influence in the recurrence of CRC in our population. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the electronic medical records of 506 patients with stage I-III CRC from one specialized Peruvian cancer center between 2006 and 2016. Survival analysis (with recurrence as the event to evaluate) was performed with Kaplan Meier curves and Long-rank test. We use a preliminary univariate analysis to do the multivariate analysis with Cox regression. We performed a ROC curve analysis to determine an appropriate cut-off value for the tumor size (≥4.2). Results: In the univariate analysis we found that sidedness, tumor size (cut-off ≥4.2), CEA, lymph node involvement, stage, histological grade, LVI, PNI, and chemotherapy were statistically significant. In the multivariate model, tumor size [HR, 1.462; 95% CI, 1.065-2.217; p<0.05], lymph node involvement [HR, 0.136; 95% CI,0.41-0.447; p<0.001], and stage III [HR, 0.003; 95% CI, 0.263-0.758; p<0.05] retained a significant association and were independent factors with relapse disease. Conclusions: In stage I-III CRC pts it is important to evaluate tumor size, lymph node involvement and clinical stage as they are possible prognostic factors that will help our diagnosis and treatment along with other standard features.
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