Mobility performance among healthy older adults eligible for long-term care in Japan: a prospective observational study

Background and aim Disability is an important health problem among older individuals, prompting the need for long-term care. Age-related disability is usually associated with mobility; however, little is known about the association between mobility and long-term care. Therefore, this study aimed to clarify the association between the timed up and go (TUG) test measuring mobility and long-term care eligibility. Patients and methods We analyzed follow-up data of 489 community-dwelling healthy older adults (≥ 65 years) who participated in a prospective observational study. They were divided into certified (59 participants) and uncertified (430 participants) groups based on long-term care eligibility. Anthropometric and physical functioning measures included the TUG test and hand grip strength (HGS), among others. These measures were compared between groups and a multivariate logistic regression analysis evaluated the association between the TUG test times and long-term care eligibility. Results Participants’ minimum follow-up period was 4 years. TUG times were significantly slower (median time: 7.4 vs. 8.3 s, p < 0.001) and HGS and knee-extension strength significantly lower in the certified group than in the uncertified group. The logistic regression analysis showed that TUG times were significantly associated with long-term care eligibility after adjusting for potential covariates. In addition, mediation analysis showed that 53.1% of the association between HGS and long-term care eligibility was mediated through TUG times. Conclusion The TUG test was associated with long-term care eligibility among healthy older adults, implying that the test may be helpful as a predictor for the early determination of dependence in old age.