Prognostic value of nasopharynx tumour volume in local-regional advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Background: To investigate the prognostic value of pretreatment primary gross tumor with (GTVp) and without retropharyngeal lymph nodes (GTVnx) for predicting survival outcomes in patients with local-regional advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) after intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT). Methods: From Jan 2012 to Dec 2017, 148 patients with local-regional advanced NPC who had undergone definitive radiotherapy were identified. GTVnx volume and rctropharyngeal lymph nodes (GTVrLNs) volume were measured based on registration of MRI with contrast-enhanced CT images. The Kaplan-Meier method was used for survival analysis. Univariate and multivariate prognostic analyses was performed by using the Cox proportional hazard model. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to identify the cut-off point and assess the prognostic value for GTVnx, GTVp and GTVrLNs. Results: The median follow-up time for the entire group was 27 months (ranging 7 to 80 months). The 3-year overall survival (OS) rate was 85%, and the 3-year local failure-free rate (LFFR), distant failurefree rate (DFFR) and disease-free survival (DFS) rates were 93%, 81%, and 73%, respectively. A positive correlation between GTVnx or GTVp volume and T stage was observed (both P<0.001). The 3-year LFFR, OS, and DFS rate, but not for DMFS, in NPC patients with GTVnx <= 42.7 cm(3 )was significantly better than those with >42.7 cm(3) (all P<0.05). Multivariate analysis indicated that GTVnx volume (P=0.041) was the only independent prognostic factor for LFFR, while age and AJCC stage were two independent prognostic factors for OS. Conclusions: The GTVnx is an independent prognostic factor for local control, while the prognostic value of GTVrLNs is limited. Physicians are recommended to distinguish between GTVnx and retropharyngeal lymph nodes (RLN) involvement when assessing the risk for local recurrence in advanced NPC.