Interactive comment on “ Spatial consistency and bias in avalanche forecasts – a case study in the European Alps ” by Frank Techel et al .

semanticscholar(2018)

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摘要
The presented study analyses the forecasting goodness of avalanche forecasts from 23 different forecasting centers in the European Alps over a period of four years. The authors use the agreement in danger level between neighboring regions (within and between different forecasting centers) as a measure of forecast consistency and bias. They present a method to explore and quantify spatial consistency of forecast regional avalanche danger levels. Bias between neighboring regions could to some extend be attributed to operational constraints of the involved forecast centers.
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