DSTO Representations and Processes in Decision Modelling

This report contains a survey by Curtin University on decision modelling which covers: 1. Our current understanding of how we make decisions, and points out our qualities, our weaknesses and the types of aids that could help us. Of note is the theory that people commit to options even though alternatives exist once a situation has been recognised. 2. Techniques useful for eliciting and representing knowledge about how experts make decisions. 3. What is situation assessment, and how others have tried to capture the process and use the captured information. 4. The different technologies that could be employed to represent the process of situation assessment. This report represents the first step of a larger project to represent how submarine commanders assess situations. APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE fDEPARTMENT OF DEFENCEI llCXA DEFENCE SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY ORGANISATION I U W I W