Modeling Shows High Potential Of Folic Acid-Fortified Salt To Accelerate Global Prevention Of Major Neural Tube Defects

Background We estimated the global proportion of folic acid-preventable spina bifida and anencephaly (FAP SBA) potentially prevented through mandatory double fortification of iodized salt with folic acid. Methods Using United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF) and Global Fortification Data Exchange (GFDx) data sets, we modeled country-specific number of FAP SBA cases prevented annually using (a) current coverage of the salt in households worldwide and (b) expected daily amount of folic acid intake from folic acid-fortified iodized salt. Our evidence-based modeling strategy assumed mandatory folic acid fortification of salt at 20 ppm, and that at 200 mu g/day intake of folic acid through fortified salt, should achieve 100% prevention of all FAP SBA in countries. Results One hundred countries that have data on percent of households consuming iodized salt globally were examined; 55 of them have >= 80% households consuming iodized salt. Our model estimated approximately 180,000 cases of FAP SBA could be prevented in these 100 countries through folic acid-fortified iodized salt, and 150,000 of them would be in countries where >= 80% households consuming iodized salt that can be potentially fortified with folic acid. Salt fortification with folic acid could contribute to the prevention of about 65% global FAP SBA cases annually. Conclusions Our evidence-based model shows that there is high potential to prevent FAP SBA using folic acid-fortified iodized salt. Prevention will reach countries where there is a limited reach of centrally processed folic acid-fortified wheat or maize flour. If this intervention is made feasible by the salt industry, it can accelerate the prevention of FAP SBA significantly.