Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries
Nancy Fullman,Ryan M. Barber,Amanuel Alemu Abajobir,Kalkidan Hassen Abate,Cristiana Abbafati,Kaja M. Abbas,Foad Abd-Allah,Abdishakur M. Abdulle,Semaw Ferede Abera,Victor Aboyans,Laith J. Abu-Raddad,Niveen M. E. Abu-Rmeileh,Isaac Akinkunmi Adedeji,Olatunji Adetokunboh,Ashkan Afshin, Anurag Agrawal,Sutapa Agrawal,Aliasghar Ahmad Kiadaliri,Hamid Ahmadieh,Muktar Beshir Ahmed,Amani Nidhal Aichour,Ibtihel Aichour,Miloud Taki Eddine Aichour,Sneha Aiyar,Rufus Olusola Akinyemi,Nadia Akseer,Ziyad Al-Aly,Khurshid Alam,Noore Alam,Deena Alasfoor,Kefyalew Addis Alene,Reza Alizadeh-Navaei,Ala'a Alkerwi,Francois Alla,Peter Allebeck,Christine Allen,Rajaa Al-Raddadi,Ubai Alsharif,Khalid A. Altirkawi,Nelson Alvis-Guzman,Azmeraw T. Amare,Erfan Amini,Walid Ammar,Carl Abelardo T. Antonio,Hossein Ansari,Palwasha Anwari,Megha Arora,Al Artaman,Krishna Kumar Aryal,Hamid Asayesh,Solomon Weldegebreal Asgedom,Reza Assadi,Tesfay Mehari Atey,Sachin R. Atre,Leticia Avila-Burgos,Euripide Frinel G. Arthur Avokpaho,Ashish Awasthi,Peter Azzopardi,Umar Bacha,Alaa Badawi,Kalpana Balakrishnan,Marlena S. Bannick,Aleksandra Barac, Suzanne L. Barker-Collo,Till Barnighausen,Lope H. Barrero,Sanjay Basu,Katherine E. Battle,Bernhard T. Baune,Justin Beardsley,Neeraj Bedi,Yannick Bejot,Michelle L. Bell,Derrick A. Bennett,James R. Bennett,Isabela M. Bensenor,Adugnaw Berhane,Derbew Fikadu Berhe,Eduardo Bernabe,Balem Demtsu Betsu,Mircea Beuran,Addisu Shunu Beyene,Anil Bhansali,Samir Bhatt,Zulfiqar A. Bhutta,Boris Bikbov,Arebu I. Bilal,Charles Birungi,Stan Biryukov,Habtamu Mellie Bizuayehu,Christopher D. Blosser,Dube Jara Boneya,Dipan Bose,Ibrahim R. Bou-Orm,Michael Brauer,Nicholas J. K. Breitborde,Traolach S. Brugha,Lemma Negesa Bulto Bulto,Zahid A. Butt,Lucero Cahuana-Hurtado,Ewan Cameron,Julio Cesar Campuzano,Rosario Cardenas,Juan Jesus Carrero,Austin Carter,Daniel C. Casey,Carlos A. Castaneda-Orjuela,Jacqueline Castillo Rivas,Ruben Estanislao Castro,Ferran Catala-Lopez,Kelly Cercy,Hsing-Yi Chang,Jung-Chen Chang,Fiona J. Charlson,Adrienne Chew,Vesper Hichilombwe Chisumpa,Abdulaal A. Chitheer,Hanne Christensen,Devasahayam Jesudas Christopher,Massimo Cirillo,Cyrus Cooper,Michael H. Criqui,Elizabeth A. Cromwell,John A. Crump,Lalit Dandona,Rakhi Dandona,Paul I. Dargan,Jose das Neves,Dragos V. Davitoiu,Barbora de Courten,Hans De Steur,Louisa Degenhardt,Selina Deiparine,Kebede Deribe,Gabrielle A. deveber,Eric L. Ding,Shirin Djalalinia,Huyen Phuc Do,Klara Dokova,David Teye Doku,E. Ray Dorsey,Tim R. Driscoll,Manisha Dubey,Bruce Bartholow Duncan,Beth E. Ebel, Hedyeh Ebrahimi,Ziad Ziad El-Khatib,Ahmadali Enayati,Aman Yesuf Endries,Sergey Petrovich Ermakov,Holly E. Erskine, Babak Eshrati,Sharareh Eskandarieh,Alireza Esteghamati, Kara Estep,Emerito Jose Aquino Faraon, Carla Sofia E Sa Farinha,Andre Faro,Farshad Farzadfar,Mir Sohail Fazeli,Valery L. Feigin,Andrea B. Feigl,Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad, Joao C. Fernandes,Alize J. Ferrari, Tesfaye Regassa Feyissa, Irina Filip,Florian Fischer, Christina Fitzmaurice,Abraham D. Flaxman,Nataliya Foigt,Kyle J. Foreman,Tahvi Frank,Richard C. Franklin,Joseph Friedman, Joseph J. Frostad,Thomas Furst,Joao M. Furtado,Emmanuela Gakidou,Alberto L. Garcia-Basteiro, Tsegaye Tewelde Gebrehiwot,Johanna M. Geleijnse,Ayele Geleto,Bikila Lencha Gemechu,Peter W. Gething,Katherine B. Gibney,Paramjit Singh Gill, Richard F. Gillum,Ababi Zergaw Giref, Melkamu Dedefo Gishu,Giorgia Giussani,Scott D. Glenn, William W. Godwin,Ellen M. Goldberg, Philimon N. Gona, Amador Goodridge, Sameer Vali Gopalani,Yevgeniy Goryakin, Max Griswold,Harish Chander Gugnani,Rajeev Gupta,Tanush Gupta,Vipin Gupta,Nima Hafezi-Nejad,Hassan Haghparast Bidgoli,Gessessew Bugssa Hailu,Randah Ribhi Hamadeh,Mouhanad Hammami,Graeme J. Hankey,Hilda L. Harb,Habtamu Abera Hareri,Mohammad Sadegh Hassanvand,Rasmus Havmoeller,Caitlin Hawley,Simon I. Hay,Jiawei He, Delia Hendrie, Nathaniel J. Henry,Ileana Beatriz Heredia-Pi,Hans W. Hoek,Mollie Holmberg,Nobuyuki Horita,H. Dean Hosgood,Sorin Hostiuc,Damian G. Hoy, Mohamed Hsairi,Aung Soe Htet,Hsiang Huang,John J. Huang,Chantal Huynh,Kim Moesgaard Iburg,Chad Ikeda,Manami Inoue,Caleb Mackay Salpeter Irvine,Kathryn H. Jacobsen, Nader Jahanmehr,Mihajlo B. Jakovljevic,Alejandra Jauregui,Mehdi Javanbakht,Panniyammakal Jeemon,Vivekanand Jha,Denny John, Catherine O. Johnson,Sarah Charlotte Johnson,Jost B. Jonas, Mikk Jurisson,Zubair Kabir, Rajendra Kadel, Amaha Kahsay,Ritul Kamal,Andre Karch,Corine Kakizi Karema, Amir Kasaeian, Nicholas J. Kassebaum,Anshul Kastor,Srinivasa Vittal Katikireddi,Norito Kawakami,Peter Njenga Keiyoro,Sefonias Getachew Kelbore,Laura Kemmer,Andre Pascal Kengne,Chandrasekharan Nair Kesavachandran,Yousef Saleh Khader, Ibrahim A. Khalil, Ejaz Ahmad Khan,Young-Ho Khang,Ardeshir Khosravi, Jagdish Khubchandani, Christian Kieling,Daniel Kim,Jun Y. Kim, Yun Jin Kim,Ruth W. Kimokoti,Yohannes Kinfu, Adnan Kisa,Katarzyna A. Kissimova-Skarbek,Mika Kivimaki,Yoshihiro Kokubo,Jacek A. Kopec,Soewarta Kosen,Parvaiz A. Koul, Ai Koyanagi,Michael Kravchenko, Kristopher J. Krohn,Barthelemy Kuate Defo,Burcu Kucuk Bicer, Xie Rachel Kulikoff,G. Anil Kumar,Michael J. Kutz,Hmwe H. Kyu,Dharmesh Kumar Lal,Ratilal Lalloo,Van C. Lansingh,Anders Larsson, Jeffrey Victor Lazarus,Paul H. Lee,James Leigh,Janni Leung,Ricky Leung,Miriam Levi,Yongmei Li,Misgan Legesse Liben,Shai Linn, Patrick Y. Liu,Shiwei Liu,Rakesh Lodha,Katharine J. Looker,Alan D. Lopez,Stefan Lorkowski,Paulo A. Lotufo,Rafael Lozano, Timothy C. D. Lucas,Mark T. Mackay,Emilie R. Maddison,Hassan Magdy Abd el Razek,Mohammed Magdy Abd el Razek,Marek Majdan,Reza Majdzadeh, Azeem Majeed,Reza Malekzadeh,Rajesh Malhotra, Deborah Carvalho Malta, Abdullah A. Mamun,Helena Manguerra,Lorenzo G. Mantovani, Tsegahun Manyazewal,Chabila C. Mapoma,Guy B. Marks,Randall V. Martin, Francisco Rogerlandio Martins-Melo,Ira Martopullo,Manu Raj Mathur,Mohsen Mazidi,Colm McAlinden,Madeline McGaughey,John J. McGrath,Martin Mckee,Suresh Mehata,Man Mohan Mehndiratta,Toni Meier,Kidanu Gebremariam Meles,Ziad A. Memish, Walter Mendoza,Melkamu Merid Mengesha,Mubarek Abera Mengistie,George A. Mensah, Gert B. M. Mensink,Seid Tiku Mereta,Atte Meretoja,Tuomo J. Meretoja,Haftay Berhane Mezgebe,Renata Micha, Anoushka Millear,Ted R. Miller,Shawn Minnig,Mojde Mirarefin, Erkin M. Mirrakhimov,Awoke Misganaw,Shiva Raj Mishra,Philip B. Mitchell,Karzan Abdulmuhsin Mohammad,Kedir Endris Mohammed, Shafiu Mohammed,Murali B. V. Mohan,Ali H. Mokdad,Sarah K. Mollenkopf,Lorenzo Monasta, Julio Cesar Montanez Hernandez,Marcella Montico,Maziar Moradi-Lakeh, Paula Moraga,Lidia Morawska,Shane D. Morrison,Mark W. Moses,Cliff Mountjoy-Venning,Ulrich O. Mueller,Kate Muller,Gudlavalleti Venkata Satyanarayana Murthy,Kamarul Imran Musa,Mohsen Naghavi,Aliya Naheed,Kovin S. Naidoo,Vinay Nangia,Gopalakrishnan Natarajan,Ionut Negoi,Ruxandra Irina Negoi,Cuong Tat Nguyen,Grant Nguyen,Minh Nguyen,Quyen Le Nguyen,Trang Huyen Nguyen,Emma Nichols,Dina Nur Anggraini Ningrum,Marika Nomura,Vuong Minh Nong,Ole F. Norheim,Jean Jacques N. Noubiap,Carla Makhlouf Obermeyer,Felix Akpojene Ogbo,In-Hwan Oh,Olanrewaju Oladimeji, Andrew Toyin Olagunju, Tinuke Oluwasefunmi Olagunju,Pedro R. Olivares,Helen E. Olsen,Bolajoko Olubukunola Olusanya,Jacob Olusegun Olusanya,Kanyin Ong,Eyal Oren,Alberto Ortiz,Mayowa O. Owolabi,Mahesh Pa,Adrian Pana,Basant Kumar Panda, Songhomitra Panda-Jonas,Christina Papachristou,Eun-Kee Park,George C. Patton,Katherine Paulson,David M. Pereira,David Norberto Perico,Konrad Pesudovs,Max Petzold,Michael Robert Phillips, David M. Pigott,Julian David Pillay,Christine Pinho, Michael A. Piradov,Farhad Pishgar,Richie G. Poulton,Farshad Pourmalek,Mostafa Qorbani, Amir Radfar, Anwar Rafay,Puja C. Rao,Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar,Mahfuzar Rahman,Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman,Muhammad Aziz Rahman, Rajesh Kumar Rai,Sasa Rajsic, Usha Ram,Chhabi Lal Ranabhat, Salman Rawaf,Patrick Reidy,Robert C. Reiner,Nikolas Reinig, Marissa B. Reitsma,Giuseppe Remuzzi,Andre M. N. Renzaho,Serge Resnikoff,Satar Rezaei,Maria Jesus Rios Blancas,Kedir Teji Roba,David Rojas-Rueda, Mohammad Bagher Rokni,Gholamreza Roshandel,Gregory A. Roth,Ambuj Roy,Enrico Rubagotti, Nafis Sadat,Mahdi Safdarian,Sare Safi,Saeid Safiri,Rajesh Sagar,Joseph Salama,Joshua A. Salomon, Abdallah M. Samy,Juan Ramon Sanabria,Damian Santomauro,Itamar S. Santos,Joao Vasco Santos,Milena M. Santric Milicevic,Benn Sartorius, Maheswar Satpathy,Monika Sawhney,Sonia Saxena, Mete I. Saylan,Shreya Shirude,Maria Ines Schmidt,Ione J. C. Schneider, Matthew T. Schneider,Ben Schottker,Aletta E. Schutte,David C. Schwebel,Falk Schwendicke,Soraya Seedat,Sadaf G. Sepanlou,Edson E. Servan-Mori, Katya Anne Shackelford,Amira Shaheen,Saeid Shahraz,Masood Ali Shaikh, Mansour Shamsipour,Morteza Shamsizadeh,Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam,Jayendra Sharma,Rajesh Sharma,Jun She,Peilin Shi
The Lancet（2017）
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摘要
BackgroundThe UN's Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are grounded in the global ambition of “leaving no one behind”. Understanding today's gains and gaps for the health-related SDGs is essential for decision makers as they aim to improve the health of populations. As part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016), we measured 37 of the 50 health-related SDG indicators over the period 1990–2016 for 188 countries, and then on the basis of these past trends, we projected indicators to 2030.MethodsWe used standardised GBD 2016 methods to measure 37 health-related indicators from 1990 to 2016, an increase of four indicators since GBD 2015. We substantially revised the universal health coverage (UHC) measure, which focuses on coverage of essential health services, to also represent personal health-care access and quality for several non-communicable …
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关键词
Sustainable development,Government,Economic growth,China,Political science,Health related,Past Trends
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