Computational modeling reveals a key role for polarized myeloid cells in controlling osteoclast activity during bone injury repair

Bone-forming osteoblasts and -resorbing osteoclasts control bone injury repair, and myeloid-derived cells such as monocytes and macrophages are known to influence their behavior. However, precisely how these multiple cell types coordinate and regulate each other over time within the bone marrow to restore bone is difficult to dissect using biological approaches. Conversely, mathematical modeling lends itself well to this challenge. Therefore, we generated an ordinary differential equation (ODE) model powered by experimental data (osteoblast, osteoclast, bone volume, pro- and anti-inflammatory myeloid cells) obtained from intra-tibially injured mice. Initial ODE results using only osteoblast/osteoclast populations demonstrated that bone homeostasis could not be recovered after injury, but this issue was resolved upon integration of pro- and anti-inflammatory myeloid population dynamics. Surprisingly, the ODE revealed temporal disconnects between the peak of total bone mineralization/resorption, and osteoblast/osteoclast numbers. Specifically, the model indicated that osteoclast activity must vary greatly (> 17-fold) to return the bone volume to baseline after injury and suggest that osteoblast/osteoclast number alone is insufficient to predict bone the trajectory of bone repair. Importantly, the values of osteoclast activity fall within those published previously. These data underscore the value of mathematical modeling approaches to understand and reveal new insights into complex biological processes.