Dynamical analysis of the fission yeast cell cycle via Markov chain

The cell cycle is a complex network involved in the regulation of cell growth and proliferation. Intrinsic molecular noise in gene expression in the cell cycle network can generate fluctuations in protein concentration. How the cell cycle network maintains its robust transitions between cell cycle phases in the presence of these fluctuations remains unclear. To understand the complex and robust behavior of the cell cycle system in the presence of intrinsic noise, we developed a Markov model for the fission yeast cell cycle system. We quantified the effect of noise on gene and protein activity and on the probability of transition between different phases of the cell cycle. Our analysis shows how network perturbations decide the fate of the cell. Our model predicts that the cell cycle pathway (subsequent transitions from G1 →S→G2 →M ) is the most robust and probable pathway among all possible trajectories in the cell cycle network. We performed a sensitivity analysis to find correlations between protein interaction weights and transition probabilities between cell cycle phases. The sensitivity analysis predicts how network perturbations affect the transition probability between different cell cycle phases and, consequently, affect different cell fates, thus, forming testable in vitro/in vivo hypotheses. Our simulation results agree with published experimental findings and reveal how noise in the cell cycle regulatory network can affect cell cycle progression.