Texture analysis using machine learning-based 3-T magnetic resonance imaging for predicting recurrence in breast cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy

Objectives To determine whether texture analysis for magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) can predict recurrence in patients with breast cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). Methods This retrospective study included 130 women who received NAC and underwent subsequent surgery for breast cancer between January 2012 and August 2017. We assessed common features, including standard morphologic MRI features and clinicopathologic features. We used a commercial software and analyzed texture features from pretreatment and midtreatment MRI. A random forest (RF) method was performed to build a model for predicting recurrence. The diagnostic performance of this model for predicting recurrence was assessed and compared with those of five other machine learning classifiers using the Wald test. Results Of the 130 women, 21 (16.2%) developed recurrence at a median follow-up of 35.4 months. The RF classifier with common features including clinicopathologic and morphologic MRI features showed the lowest diagnostic performance (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC], 0.83). The texture analysis with the RF method showed the highest diagnostic performances for pretreatment T2-weighted images and midtreatment DWI and ADC maps showed better diagnostic performance than that of an analysis of common features (AUC, 0.94 vs. 0.83, p < 0.05). The RF model based on all sequences showed a better diagnostic performance for predicting recurrence than did the five other machine learning classifiers. Conclusions Texture analysis using an RF model for pretreatment and midtreatment MRI may provide valuable prognostic information for predicting recurrence in patients with breast cancer treated with NAC and surgery.