Predicting the eddy current loss of a large nuclear power turbo generator using a fuzzy c-means deep Gaussian process regression model

The distribution of the rotor slot wedge eddy current loss in large nuclear power turbo generators is complex and is influenced by many factors. Excessive eddy current loss leads to severe rotor heating, potentially leading to thermal accidents; therefore, the design precision of large generators must be improved. In this paper, a Fuzzy C-Means Deep Gaussian Process Regression (FCM-DGPR) method is proposed to predict the eddy current loss of a large generator in order to solve the problem of the insufficient accuracy of deep Gaussian process regression (DGPR) with increasing number of the data samples. First, the original dataset is obtained by the finite element method (FEM) and then normalized to construct the samples of the eddy current loss of a large nuclear power generator. Second, the training set is automatically clustered into different subsets by the fuzzy c-means algorithm, and each subset is used to train the DGPR model to obtain different sub models. The membership degree of each data point in the test set is calculated and used to evaluate the sub model of the data. Then, the sub model is used to predict the eddy current loss. Finally, the result is obtained by concatenating the results of each sub model. The results show that the goodness of fit (R-2) is 0.9809, the root mean square error (RMSE) is 0.0271, the prediction error is small, and the model exhibits good prediction performance. Further experimental results show that the FCM-DGPR method is superior to the existing DGPR models and other models and is more suitable for predicting the eddy current loss of large generators. (C) 2021 Published by Elsevier B.V.