Structural geometry of the Urumqi foreland thrust system, northern Tian Shan: Insights into the seismotectonics of the 2013 M 5.1 Urumqi earthquake and deformation pattern in the Urumqi area

In foreland thrust systems, the complex structural geometry creates greater difficulties in constraining the seismotectonics of moderate magnitude earthquakes without pronounced surface ruptures and in assessing future seismic risk. The 2013 M 5.1 Urumqi earthquake was a moderate event that occurred in the Urumqi foreland thrust system. Based on surface investigations, geological mapping, and interpretations of deep seismic reflection profiles, we suggest that the Urumqi foreland thrust belt is a typical active wedge thrust system. Two connected fault segments of the gently south-dipping blind fault ramp and the north-dipping Xishan back-thrust fault merge at a depth of ~11 km and bound the wedge-shaped fault block. Analyses of the focal mechanism and aftershock distribution indicate that the seismogenic fault responsible for the M 5.1 Urumqi event is the south-dipping Xishan fault ramp with a dip angle of ~10–30°, which highlights the potential seismic hazards of the unruptured north-dipping Xishan back-thrust ramp. The four fault branches on the hanging wall of the Xishan fault are interpreted as flexural-slip thrusts. Our results indicate that multiple surface ruptures over a 6 km-wide area may form if a large earthquake occurs along the Xishan fault system.