The Impact of Changes in Log Import Price from the Logging Ban on the Market Price of Timber Products

JOURNAL OF SUSTAINABLE FORESTRY(2023)

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摘要
China's ban on commercial logging of natural forests coupled with increased, demand for log imports has caused the import prices of logs to fluctuate. It is important to explore the influence of the changing trend of imported log prices on the market price of wood products under the logging ban policy. Based on the data of 2013-2020, this paper uses breakpoint regression analysis to explore the market effect of import log price fluctuations under the natural forest logging ban in China. The results show that the change of log import price under the logging ban policy has led to the increase in market prices for wood products. Finally, based on the conclusion of the study, some suggestions are put forward from three aspects: broaden log import channels, adjust the management mode of resource reserves and optimize government subsidy policy.
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关键词
Logging ban, log import price, breakpoint regression
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