Understanding and reducing the uncertainties of land surface energy flux partitioning within CMIP6 land models

Agricultural and Forest Meteorology(2022)

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摘要
•CMIP6 models largely overestimated the land surface evaporative fraction (defined as LE/(LE + H)).•Surface forcing variables e.g., vapor pressure deficit dominated the model EF uncertainties.•Accounting the forcing biases could largely improve CMIP6 model ensembles.•ML-based asurrogate model could further improve the CMIP6 modeled EF through parameterization.•CMIP6 model structure imperfection prevailed at evergreen broadleaf forest ecosystems.
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关键词
Energy fluxes,CMIP6,Uncertainty reduction,Machine learning,Causal inference
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