Unbiased cross-validation kernel density estimation for wind and PV probabilistic modelling

Energy Conversion and Management(2022)

引用 18|浏览8
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摘要
•The KDE-UCV is introduced for the first time for long-term power system planning.•The nonparametric model is applied to both of wind speed and solar irradiance datasets.•KDE-UCV produces accurate probability densities than conventional approaches.•Assessments reveal robust performance with high R2 and low error metrics.•K-S test results indicate a clear evidence of a good fit for the KDE-UCV estimator.
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关键词
Nonparametric estimation,Parametric models,Probability density estimation,Probabilistic models,Solar irradiance models,Wind speed models
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