Spatial patterns and driving factor analysis of recommended nitrogen application rate for the trade-off between economy and environment for maize in China

Appropriate nitrogen (N) application increases crop yield, while its unreasonable application results in environmental problem. Determining the appropriate N application rate is the key to sustainable development. Here, the denitrification-decomposition (DNDC) model was used to analyze the effects of N fertilizer on maize yields, economic benefits, nitrate leaching, and nitrous oxide emissions in China. The N application rate for the trade-off between economy and environment at the county scale was further determined. The geodetector model was used to identify the main driving factors and their interactions of the recommended N rate in each agricultural zone. The results showed that the recommended N rate was generally high in the northwest but low in the south, consistent with the spatial patterns of yield potential. However, clay soils with clay ratios greater than 34% in southern China and sandy soils with bulk densities greater than 1.5 g cm−3 on the Huanghuaihai Plain experienced high N levels and low yields, and thus soils need to be improved. Potential grain yield was the main driving factor in most zones, yet its effects gradually weakened from north to south. The influence of soil characteristics increased from north to south. It was found that the current average N application rate of farmers in China was 249 kg N/ha, and 86.55% of counties had excessive N applications. Compared to the regional optimal N rate at a regional scale, a differentiated N application strategy at the county scale determined in this study increased maize yield and economic benefit by 10.51% and 10.85%, respectively, and reduced N2O emissions and NO3− leaching by 28.72% and 33.60%, respectively. The current research provides a scientific basis for China to formulate a win-win N management strategy for economy and environment and provides a method reference for other countries.