Deep learning framework for prediction of infection severity of COVID-19

With the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, quantifying the condition of positively diagnosed patients is of paramount importance. Chest CT scans can be used to measure the severity of a lung infection and the isolate involvement sites in order to increase awareness of a patient's disease progression. In this work, we developed a deep learning framework for lung infection severity prediction. To this end, we collected a dataset of 232 chest CT scans and involved two public datasets with an additional 59 scans for our model's training and used two external test sets with 21 scans for evaluation. On an input chest Computer Tomography (CT) scan, our framework, in parallel, performs a lung lobe segmentation utilizing a pre-trained model and infection segmentation using three distinct trained SE-ResNet18 based U-Net models, one for each of the axial, coronal, and sagittal views. By having the lobe and infection segmentation masks, we calculate the infection severity percentage in each lobe and classify that percentage into 6 categories of infection severity score using a k-nearest neighbors (k-NN) model. The lobe segmentation model achieved a Dice Similarity Score (DSC) in the range of [0.918, 0.981] for different lung lobes and our infection segmentation models gained DSC scores of 0.7254 and 0.7105 on our two test sets, respectfully. Similarly, two resident radiologists were assigned the same infection segmentation tasks, for which they obtained a DSC score of 0.7281 and 0.6693 on the two test sets. At last, performance on infection severity score over the entire test datasets was calculated, for which the framework's resulted in a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.505 +/- 0.029, while the resident radiologists' was 0.571 +/- 0.039.