A sequential decision-making framework with uncertainty quantification for groundwater management

Advances in Water Resources(2022)

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摘要
•Groundwater remediation planning and decision problem formulated as a partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP).•Comparison between POMDP and the conventional state-of-the-art optimization approaches, such as one-shot optimization and model predictive control (closed loop) optimization.•DESPOT, a state-of-the-art POMDP solver, outperforms optimization solution methods using PSO and hand-crafted heuristic solutions.•Optimizing the trade-off between information gathering and the performance of possible future scenarios via POMDP formulation.•Importance of belief updates, also known as inversion problems or history matching, in groundwater problems.
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关键词
POMDPs,belief updates,particle filter,Bayesian inversion,model predictive control,closed-loop optimization,sequential decision making,groundwater management,particle swarm optimization (PSO)
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