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Exploring meteorological impacts based on K?ppen-Geiger climate classification after reviewing China?s response to COVID-19

Applied Mathematical Modelling(2023)

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摘要
More than 30 months into the novel coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, effort s to bring this prevalence under control have achieved tentative achievements in China. How-ever, the continuing increase in confirmed cases worldwide and the novel variants imply a severe risk of imported viruses. High-intensity non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) are the mainly used measures of China's early response to COVID-19, which enabled effective control in the first wave of the epidemic. However, their efficiency is relatively low across China at the current stage. Therefore, this study focuses on whether measurable meteoro-logical variables be found through global data to learn more about COVID-19 and explore flexible controls. This study first examines the control measures, such as NPIs and vacci-nation, on COVID-19 transmission across 189 countries, especially in China. Subsequently, we estimate the association between meteorological factors and time-varying reproduction numbers based on the global data by meta-population epidemic model, eliminating the aforementioned anthropogenic factors. According to this study, we find that the basic re-production number of COVID-19 transmission varied wildly among Koppen-Geiger climate classifications, which is of great significance for the flexible adjustment of China's control protocols. We obtain that in southeast China, Koppen-Geiger climate sub-classifications, Cwb, Cfa, and Cfb, are more likely to spread COVID-19. In August, the RSIM of Cwb cli-mate subclassification is about three times that of Dwc in April, which implies that the intensity of control effort s in different sub-regions may differ three times under the same imported risk. However, BSk and BWk, the most widely distributed in northwest China, have smaller basic reproduction numbers than Cfa, distributed in southeast coastal areas. It indicates that northwest China's control intensity could be appropriately weaker than southeast China under the same prevention objectives.(c) 2022 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
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关键词
COVID-19,China?s response,NPIs and vaccination,K?ppen-Geiger climate classification
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