Forecasting models for Polish coal mining accidents

2022 26th International Conference on Methods and Models in Automation and Robotics (MMAR)(2022)

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摘要
In paper, forecasting models using exponential smoothing for Polish coal mining safety accidents are presented. Prior to this, data is analyzed and approach for building forecasting models in Tableau is described in details. Three forecasting models are revealed, respectively for all accidents in coal mines, fatal accidents and employment. Received results are promising and confidence intervals cover the predictions well. Improved forecast accuracy with presented models might provide coal mine enterprises more precise data, supporting safety management in those organizations.
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关键词
safety accidents,fatal accidents,forecasting,exponential smoothing,time series,coal mining
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