Latent class analysis: an innovative approach for identification of clinical and laboratory markers of disease severity among COVID-19 patients admitted to the intensive care unit.

Objective:The aim of this study was to identify clinical and laboratory phenotype distribution patterns and their usefulness as prognostic markers in COVID-19 patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) at Tygerberg Hospital, Cape Town. Methods and results:A latent class analysis (LCA) model was applied in a prospective, observational cohort study. Data from 343 COVID-19 patients were analysed. Two distinct phenotypes (1 and 2) were identified, comprising 68.46% and 31.54% of patients, respectively. The phenotype 2 patients were characterized by increased coagulopathy markers (D-dimer, median value 1.73 ng/L vs 0.94 ng/L; p < 0.001), end-organ dysfunction (creatinine, median value 79 µmol/L vs 69.5 µmol/L; p < 0.003), under-perfusion markers (lactate, median value 1.60 mmol/L vs 1.20 mmol/L; p < 0.001), abnormal cardiac function markers (median N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) 314 pg/ml vs 63.5 pg/ml; p < 0.001 and median high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (Hs-TropT) 39 ng/L vs 12 ng/L; p < 0.001), and acute inflammatory syndrome (median neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio 15.08 vs 8.68; p < 0.001 and median monocyte value 0.68 × 109/L vs 0.45 × 109/L; p < 0.001). Conclusion:The identification of COVID-19 phenotypes and sub-phenotypes in ICU patients could help as a prognostic marker in the day-to-day management of COVID-19 patients admitted to the ICU.