Risk factors for portopulmonary hypertension in patients with cirrhosis: a prospective, multicenter study

Background Tricuspid regurgitation pressure gradient (TRPG) measurement by echocardiography is recommended as the most objective examination to detect portopulmonary hypertension (PoPH). This study aimed to identify factors associated with a high TRPG in patients with cirrhosis and develop a scoring model for identifying patients who are most likely to benefit from echocardiography investigations. Results A total of 486 patients who underwent echocardiography were randomly allocated to the derivation and validation sets at a ratio of 2:1. Of the patients, 51 (10.5%) had TRPG ≥ 35 mmHg. The median brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) was 39.5 pg/mL. Shortness of breath (SOB) was reported by 91 (18.7%) patients. In the derivation set, multivariate analysis identified female gender, shortness of breath, and BNP ≥ 48.9 pg/mL as independent factors for TRPG ≥ 35 mmHg. The risk score for predicting TRPG ≥ 35 mmHg was calculated as follows: − 3.596 + 1.250 × gender (female: 1, male: 0) + 1.093 × SOB (presence: 1, absence: 0) + 0.953 × BNP (≥ 48.9 pg/mL: 1, < 48.9 pg/mL: 0). The risk score yielded sensitivity of 66.7%, specificity of 75.3%, positive predictive value of 25.5%, negative predict value of 94.3%, and predictive accuracy of 74.4% for predicting TRPG ≥ 35 mmHg. These results were almost similar in the validation set, indicating the reproducibility and validity of the risk score. Conclusions This study clarified the characteristics of patients with suspected PoPH and developed a scoring model for identifying patients at high risk of PoPH, which may be used in selecting patients that may benefit from echocardiography.