Logistic pipe failure prediction models for an urban water distribution network in the developing world: a case study of Kampala water, Uganda

Abstract Being one of the most important assets of a water utility, urban water distribution pipe systems account highest of the total expenditure involved in water supply systems. However, maintaining water system performance can be challenging due to deterioration. Deterioration, an ongoing process as the system ages is influenced by a number of factors majorly physical, operational, and environmental factors, and is the main cause of pipe failures. Pipe failure has economic, social, and environmental impacts thus increasing operational and maintenance costs. Therefore, the need for proactive approaches for management to ensure the systems operate satisfactorily, and function efficiently and continuously at low costs is highly recommended.