Comparing the Variations and Influencing Factors of Ch4 Emissions from Paddies and Wetlands Under Co2 Enrichment: A Data Synthesis in the Last Three Decades

Understanding and quantifying the impact of elevated tropospheric carbon dioxide concentration (e [CO2]) on methane (CH4) globally is important for effectively assessing and mitigating climate warming. Paddies and wetlands are the two important sources of CH4 emissions. Yet, a quantitative synthetic investigation of the effects of e [CO2] on CH4 emissions from paddies and wetlands on a global scale has not been conducted. Here, we conducted a meta-analysis of 488 observation cases from 40 studies to assess the long-term effects of e [CO2] (ambient [CO2]+ 53-400 μmol mol-1) on CH4 emissions and to identify the relevant key drivers. On aggregate, e [CO2] increased CH4 emissions by 25.7% (p < 0.05) from paddies but did not affect CH4 emissions from wetlands (-3.29%; p > 0.05). The e [CO2] effects on paddy CH4 emissions were positively related to that on belowground biomass and soil-dissolved CH4 content. However, these factors under e [CO2] resulted in no significant change in CH4 emissions in wetlands. Particularly, the e [CO2]-induced abundance of methanogens increased in paddies but decreased in wetlands. In addition, tillering number of rice and water table levels affected e [CO2]-induced CH4 emissions in paddies and wetlands, respectively. On a global scale, CH4 emissions changed from an increase (+0.13 and + 0.86 Pg CO2-eq yr-1) under short-term e [CO2] into a decrease and no changes (-0.22 and + 0.03 Pg CO2-eq yr-1) under long-term e [CO2] in paddies and wetlands, respectively. This suggested that e [CO2]-induced CH4 emissions from paddies and wetlands changed over time. Our results not only shed light on the different stimulative responses of CH4 emissions to e [CO2] from paddy and wetland ecosystems but also suggest that estimates of e [CO2]-induced CH4 emissions from global paddies and wetlands need to account for long-term changes in various regions.