CT radiomic predictors of local relapse after SBRT for lung oligometastases from colorectal cancer: a single institute pilot study

Objectives To assess the potential of radiomic features (RFs) extracted from simulation computed tomography (CT) images in discriminating local progression (LP) after stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) in the management of lung oligometastases (LOM) from colorectal cancer (CRC). Materials and methods Thirty-eight patients with 70 LOM treated with SBRT were analyzed. The largest LOM was considered as most representative for each patient and was manually delineated by two blinded radiation oncologists. In all, 141 RFs were extracted from both contours according to IBSI (International Biomarker Standardization Initiative) recommendations. Based on the agreement between the two observers, 134/141 RFs were found to be robust against delineation (intraclass correlation coefficient [ICC] > 0.80); independent RFs were then assessed by Spearman correlation coefficients. The association between RFs and LP was assessed with Mann–Whitney test and univariate logistic regression (ULR): the discriminative power of the most informative RF was quantified by receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) analysis through area under curve (AUC). Results In all, 15/38 patients presented LP. Median time to progression was 14.6 months (range 2.4–66 months); 5/141 RFs were significantly associated to LP at ULR analysis ( p < 0.05); among them, 4 RFs were selected as robust and independent: Statistical_Variance (AUC = 0.75, p = 0.002), Statistical_Range (AUC = 0.72, p = 0.013), Grey Level Size Zone Matrix (GLSZM) _zoneSizeNonUniformity (AUC = 0.70, p = 0.022), Grey Level Dependence Zone Matrix (GLDZM) _zoneDistanceEntropy (AUC = 0.70, p = 0.026). Importantly, the RF with the best performance (Statisical_Variance) is simply representative of density heterogeneity within LOM. Conclusion Four RFs extracted from planning CT were significantly associated with LP of LOM from CRC treated with SBRT. Results encourage further research on a larger population aiming to define a usable radiomic score combining the most predictive RFs and, possibly, additional clinical features.