Preoperative prediction of miliary changes in the small bowel mesentery in advanced high-grade serous ovarian cancer using MRI radiomics nomogram

Purpose To develop and validate an MRI-based radiomics nomogram for the preoperative prediction of miliary changes in the small bowel mesentery (MCSBM) in advanced high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC). Materials and methods One hundred and twenty-eight patients with pathologically proved advanced HGSOC (training cohort: n = 91; validation cohort: n = 37) were retrospectively included. All patients were initially evaluated as MCSBM-negative by preoperative imaging modalities but were finally confirmed by surgery and histopathology (MCSBM-positive: n = 53; MCSBM-negative: n = 75). Five radiomics signatures were built based on the features from multisequence magnetic resonance images. Independent clinicoradiological factors and radiomics-fusion signature were further integrated to construct a radiomics nomogram. The performance of the nomogram was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves and clinical utility. Results Radiomics signatures, ascites, and tumor size were independent predictors of MCSBM. A nomogram integrating radiomics features and clinicoradiological factors demonstrated satisfactory predictive performance with areas under the curves (AUCs) of 0.871 (95% CI 0.801–0.941) and 0.858 (95% CI 0.739–0.976) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The net reclassification index (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) revealed that the nomogram had a significantly improved ability compared with the clinical model in the training cohort (NRI = 0.343, p = 0.002; IDI = 0.299, p < 0.001) and validation cohort (NRI = 0.409, p = 0.015; IDI = 0.283, p = 0.001). Conclusion Our proposed nomogram has the potential to serve as a noninvasive tool for the prediction of MCSBM, which is helpful for the individualized assessment of advanced HGSOC patients. Graphical abstract