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Characteristics of mean and extreme precipitation in Ny Ålesund, Arctic

R. Athulya,M. Nuncio, Sourav Chatterjee,P.J. Vidya

SSRN Electronic Journal(2023)

Cited 0|Views11
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Abstract
The intensification of precipitation in the Arctic can impact the ecosystem by altering the freshwater flux, albedo, sea ice, and permafrost stability. In a location like the Arctic with a harsh environment, precipitation observations are difficult to make. In the present study, precipitation characteristics are investigated using precipitation records from Ny Ålesund, Svalbard, where the longest record of precipitation in the Atlantic sector of the Arctic is available. Precipitation is expected to increase with the warming of the atmosphere; however, significant trends in precipitation are only observed during fall (0.36 mm/decade). Even though a strong temperature increase was noticed in winter, the precipitation trend was not significant. Precipitation is separated into weak and extreme events to gain more insight into its characteristics. Again, fall was characterised by a significant positive trend in weak precipitation (150 × 10−3mm/decade), while extreme winter precipitation displayed a positive trend during 2000–2019 (4.13 mm/decade). Further analysis indicated that winter extreme precipitation followed a 2-CC relationship while the precipitation during fall followed 2-CC/1-CC scaling for mean/extreme events. The atmospheric circulation pattern during the extreme events resembles the Scandinavian pattern, characterised by high MSLP anomalies over northwestern Europe. While widespread evaporation was noticed over the North Atlantic during extreme events, vertically integrated moisture divergence indicated West Spitzbergen Current (WSC) could be a possible moisture source for extreme precipitation events during winter.
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Key words
extreme precipitation,arctic,ny ålesund
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