Prognostic value of cardiovascular magnetic resonance T1 mapping and extracellular volume fraction in nonischemic dilated cardiomyopathy

Background Heart failure- (HF) and arrhythmia-related complications are the main causes of morbidity and mortality in patients with nonischemic dilated cardiomyopathy (NIDCM). Cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging is a noninvasive tool for risk stratification based on fibrosis assessment. Diffuse interstitial fibrosis in NIDCM may be a limitation for fibrosis assessment through late gadolinium enhancement (LGE), which might be overcome through quantitative T1 and extracellular volume (ECV) assessment. T1 and ECV prognostic value for arrhythmia-related events remain poorly investigated. We asked whether T1 and ECV have a prognostic value in NIDCM patients. Methods This prospective multicenter study analyzed 225 patients with NIDCM confirmed by CMR who were followed up for 2 years. CMR evaluation included LGE, native T1 mapping and ECV values. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of a major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) which was divided in two groups: HF-related events and arrhythmia-related events. Optimal cutoffs for prediction of MACE occurrence were calculated for all CMR quantitative values. Results Fifty-eight patients (26%) developed a MACE during follow-up, 42 patients (19%) with HF-related events and 16 patients (7%) arrhythmia-related events. T1 Z-score (p = 0.008) and global ECV (p = 0.001) were associated with HF-related events occurrence, in addition to left ventricular ejection fraction (p < 0.001). ECV > 32.1% (optimal cutoff) remained the only CMR independent predictor of HF-related events occurrence (HR 2.15 [1.14–4.07], p = 0.018). In the arrhythmia-related events group, patients had increased native T1 Z-score and ECV values, with both T1 Z-score > 4.2 and ECV > 30.5% (optimal cutoffs) being independent predictors of arrhythmia-related events occurrence (respectively, HR 2.86 [1.06–7.68], p = 0.037 and HR 2.72 [1.01–7.36], p = 0.049). Conclusions ECV was the sole independent predictive factor for both HF- and arrhythmia-related events in NIDCM patients. Native T1 was also an independent predictor in arrhythmia-related events occurrence. The addition of ECV and more importantly native T1 in the decision-making algorithm may improve arrhythmia risk stratification in NIDCM patients. Trial registration NCT02352129. Registered 2nd February 2015—Retrospectively registered, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02352129