Prediction of melanoma Breslow thickness using deep transfer learning algorithms

Background The distinction between in situ melanoma (MIS) and invasive melanoma is challenging even for expert dermatologists. The use of pretrained convolutional neural networks (CNNs) as ancillary decision systems needs further research. Aim To develop, validate and compare three deep transfer learning (DTL) algorithms to predict MIS vs. invasive melanoma and melanoma with a Breslow thickness (BT) of < 0.8 mm vs. >= 0.8 mm. Methods A dataset of 1315 dermoscopic images of histopathologically confirmed melanomas was created from Virgen del Rocio University Hospital and open repositories of the International Skin Imaging Collaboration archive and Polesie S et al. (Dermatol Pract Concept 2021; 11:e2021079). The images were labelled as MIS or invasive melanoma and < 0.8 mm or >= 0.8 mm of BT. We conducted three trainings, and overall means for receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive value, and balanced diagnostic accuracy outcomes were evaluated on the test set with ResNetV2, EfficientNetB6 and InceptionV3. The results of 10 dermatologists were compared with the algorithms. Grad-CAM gradient maps were generated, highlighting relevant areas considered by the CNNs within the images. Results EfficientNetB6 achieved the highest diagnostic accuracy for the comparison between MIS vs. invasive melanoma (61%) and BT < 0.8 mm vs. >= 0.8 mm (75%). For the BT comparison, ResNetV2 with an area under the ROC curve of 0.76 and InceptionV3 with an area under the ROC curve of 0.75, outperformed the results obtained by the dermatologist group with an area under the ROC curve of 0.70. Conclusion EfficientNetB6 recorded the best prediction results, outperforming the dermatologists for the comparison of 0.8 mm of BT. DTL could be an ancillary aid to support dermatologists' decisions in the near future. The aim of the study was to develop, validate and compare three deep transfer learning algorithms to predict whether a melanoma is an in situ or an invasive melanoma and whether a melanoma has a Breslow thickness of < 0.8 or >= 0.8 mm.